Hindsight: Trading First Round Draft Picks

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I've collated first round draft pick trades from 2000 to 2014. Moreso looking for the lessons that can be learned that history has shown the clubs. Caveats are I haven't generally included complex trades where there are multiple exchanges (I.e. trades for strategic reasons) or that involve multiple players where the value is harder to identify. I haven't had time to think about what the lessons are, whether it warns against trading first rounders or perhaps not stuffing up top picks. But it does look like the practice has slowed down over the years. What you make of it, how you interpret it would be appreciated and an interesting discussion...

2000

Bode to Adelaide, Rehn to Hawthorn - #12 - Shaun Burgoyne
Clement & Holland to Collingwood, Paul Williams to Sydney - #8 - eventually Daniel Motlop
Justin Murphy to Geelong - #11 - Trent Sporn
Wakelin > Hamill - #4 - Luke Livingston

2001

Croad & McPharlin - #1 - Hodge
Farmer > Bizzell > Black > Stafford > Hall - #13 & #17 - 13 Dal Santo, 17 James Kelly

2002

Leigh Brown > Byron Pickett - #13 - Byron Schammer
Carey - #2 & #18 - Daniel Wells & Kris Shore
Daniel Chick - #8 - Luke Brennan
Peter Everitt - #6 - Eventually Steven Salopek
Barnaby French - #16 - Steven Gilham
Des Headland - #3 & #19 - Jared Brennan & Troy Selwood
Luke Penny - #17 - Cameron Faulkner
Shane Woewodin - #14 - Daniel Bell

2003

Nathan Brown > Danny Jacobs > Lachlan Veale - #6 (& more) - Kepler Bradley
Trent Croad - #10 - Rhley Dunn

2004

Scott Thompson > Moloney - #12 - Lynden Dunn
Josh Carr - #11 - Angus Monfries
Brad Ottens - #12 & #16 - AA & Adam Pattison
Jolly - #15 - Cameron Wood
Nathan Thompson - #10 - Chris Egan

2005

Fergus Watts - #17 - Darren Pfeiffer
Jono Hay - #18 - Max Bailey
Nathan Lonie - #14 - Grant Birchall

2006

Chris Tarrant - #8 - Ben Reid (& Medhurst)

2007

Cam Wood > Trav Johnstone - #14 - Jack Grimes
Jordan McMahon - #19 - Callan Ward

2008

Nil.

2009

Brock McLean - #11 - Jordan Gysbert
Andrew Lovett - #16 - McMillan-Pittard (Buyer beware)
Darren Jolly - #14 - Lewis Jetta
Shaun Burgoyne - #9 - Andrew Moore

2010

End of first round compo: Hale (Kieran Harper), Tambling (Jake Batchelor) & Sherman (Lester)
Pick 15 from GCS to Geelong - Smedts

2011

Mitch Clarke - #12 - Sam Docherty

2012

Sharrod Wellingham - #18 - Brodie Grundy

2013

Ben McEvoy (& Savage) - #18 - Luke Dunstan

2014

O'Rourke - #19 - Eventaully Blaine Boekhurst
Dayne Beams (& others) - #5 - Jordan De Goey and his dog
Paddy Ryder - #17 - Kyle Langford
Tom Boyd/Gryphone - #6 - Caleb Marchbank


So, is there a trend? Does history tend itself to being overly cautious about trading out first rounders? Or for the right gun player, the risk is worth it? Is some fault the poor drafting from good picks? It seems some clubs have really hurt from trading out their first rounders, perhaps costing premierships equally s some clubs have won premierships from it.