The official 2017 TandT Who to Root for Thread

[Twodogs]

Fire up the bunsen burner and melt the plastics!

Did tgat at high school while the teacher was out of the classroom. Gee did that go down well.

[hujsh]

The rooting has gotten very scientific all of a sudden!

I like to say clinical and precise

[Twodogs]

I like to say clinical and precise

You always were a romantic at heart.

It's hardened up, that's for sure.

[HOSE B ROMERO]

Top 2 is out of reach now. Most we can get is 56 points. Adelaide already have 58. GWS & Richmond have 52 and Geelong has 50. Geelong play both GWS & Richmond, and would need to win both to stop GWS & Richmond getting to 56 but would then be on 58 themselves

If we win our remaining 3 games, the highest we can finish is 3rd, and the lowest we can finish is 6th. We are currently 7th and play Port who we would go past if we beat them

To pass Sydney we need them to lose one of Freo (H), Adel (A), Carl (H) so their R22 game against Adelaide is key
To pass Geelong we need them to lose two of Rich (H), Coll (A), GWS (H), their R21 and R23 games are key
To pass Richmond we need them to lose all of Geel (A), Freo (A), StK (A)
To pass GWS we need them to lose all of WB (A), WCE (H), Geel (A)

Only 3 of those things can happen as Geelong play GWS & Richmond. If 3 happen we finish 3rd, if 2 happen we finish 4th, if 1 happens we finish 5th, if none happen we finish 6th

If we win 2 of our remaining games we get to 52 points. Adelaide, GWS & Richmond already have 52 so the highest we could finish is 4th. As far down as St Kilda can get to 52 points by winning their remaining games, however St Kilda play Melbourne next week so at least one won't get to 52, so the lowest we could finish is 10th

To pass St Kilda we need them to lose one of Melb (A), NM (H), Rich (A) OR win them all but not make up ~63 points on our percentage
To pass Melbourne we need them to lose one of StK (H), BL (H), Coll (A), R21 v StK is key
To pass West Coast we need them to lose one of Carl (H), GWS (A), Adel (H), R22 v GWS is key
To pass Essendon we need them to lose one of Adel (H), GC (A), Freo (H), R21 v Adel is key
To pass Sydney we need them to lose two of Freo (H), Adel (A), Carl (H), would need an upset in R21 or R23
To pass Port Adelaide we need them to lose two of Coll (H), WB (A), GC (H), would need an upset in R21 or R23
To pass Geelong we need them to lose all of Rich (H), Coll (A), GWS (H)

At least 1 of those things must happen with St Kilda playing Melbourne. If all 7 happen we finish 4th, if 6 happen we finish 5th, if 5 happen we finish 6th, if 4 happen we finish 7th, if 3 happen we finish 8th, if 2 happen we finish 9th, if 1 happens we finish 10th

Okay.. i was right with ya up to the bit about '...the most we can get is 56 points...

[boydogs]

Okay.. i was right with ya up to the bit about '...the most we can get is 56 points...

TL;DR - Win 3 and we're 3rd-6th, win 2 and we're 4th-10th, cheer for Geelong, Sydney, West Coast & Essendon to lose

[boydogs]

Adelaide & Carlton have started well, would be huge for our hopes if they can go on with it

Round 21

WB v GWS - Nope
Syd v Fre - Nope
Geel v Rich - Nope
Bris v GC
Ess v Adel
WCE v Carl
Melb v StK
Haw v NM
Port v Coll

[Eastdog]

Could be a good night for us results wise right now.

I think if the Crows and Blues win I think we still remain in the 8 after this round.

[Eastdog]

http://www.liveladders.com/AFL/

[boydogs]

Carlton level at 3/4 time but couldn't go on with it, Adelaide ensuring we finish at least 9th if we win the last two

Need St Kilda to have a narrow win against Melbourne to stay in the 8 at the end of the round. More than that and they will pass us on percentage. Better for us if they beat Melbourne, as not only are we a chance to hold them off on percentage, but they have to beat Richmond in R23

[Sedat]

Carlton level at 3/4 time but couldn't go on with it, Adelaide ensuring we finish at least 9th if we win the last two

Need St Kilda to have a narrow win against Melbourne to stay in the 8 at the end of the round. More than that and they will pass us on percentage. Better for us if they beat Melbourne, as not only are we a chance to hold them off on percentage, but they have to beat Richmond in R23

Reckon we will make top 8 if we win both games. West Coke have 2 tough games (GWS away and Adelaide home), and St Kilda has Richmond in R23. Demons have a tough match against the Pies in R23 which they could easily drop. We have Essendon covered if we win both. Even Port if they lose tomorrow and we knock them off next week.

We'd be incredibly stiff to miss the top 8 with 13-9 - I reckon 12-10 and a good % will be enough to make it.

[Sedat]

If we want a perfect result tomorrow, a draw between Melbourne and the Saints would be absolute gold.

[Twodogs]

If we want a perfect result tomorrow, a draw between Melbourne and the Saints would be absolute gold.

Thought that myself.

[westdog54]

If we want a perfect result tomorrow, a draw between Melbourne and the Saints would be absolute gold.

Failing that, Saints winning by less than 2 goals keeps us in by my count.

[boydogs]

Reckon we will make top 8 if we win both games. West Coke have 2 tough games (GWS away and Adelaide home), and St Kilda has Richmond in R23. Demons have a tough match against the Pies in R23 which they could easily drop. We have Essendon covered if we win both. Even Port if they lose tomorrow and we knock them off next week.

We'd be incredibly stiff to miss the top 8 with 13-9 - I reckon 12-10 and a good % will be enough to make it.

Yep, the Essendon game last night was the key one, whether they could get over Adelaide at home. Adelaide held up their end of the bargain, just need West Coast to lose one of their next two to join Essendon and the loser of St Kilda/Melbourne as the 3 top 11 teams that don't get to 13 wins

[bornadog]

Yep, the Essendon game last night was the key one, whether they could get over Adelaide at home. Adelaide held up their end of the bargain, just need West Coast to lose one of their next two to join Essendon and the loser of St Kilda/Melbourne as the 3 top 11 teams that don't get to 13 wins

West Coast play GWS next week in Sydney followed by Crows at home, so that should be it for them. I can't see the Saints winning today and they still have Tigers.