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2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
This is a big question.
The loss on Thursday night almost closed the door on a top 4 finish but despite that I'm still hopeful we could considering how close the season is and that will give us the best possible chance. Right now we just want to probably make sure we get in the 8 again as so far our form does not suggest will finish very high but as we know things can change.
Our games
R13 v Demons at Etihad
R14 v Kangaroos at Etihad
R15 v Eagles at Etihad
R16 v Crows at Adelaide Oval
R17 v Blues at the MCG
R18 v Suns in Cairns
R19 v Bombers at Etihad
R20 v Lions at the Gabba
R21 v Giants at Etihad
R22 v Power in Ballarat
R23 v Hawks at Etihad
What do we reckon?
"Footscray people are incredible people; so humble. I'm just so happy - ecstatic"
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Re: 2017 Season - Will be make the top 4?
Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023
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Re: 2017 Season - Will be make the top 4?
Yes. If we can 'click' we are one of the teams to beat. And thats a pretty good run home.
Adams injury could be critical though.
The curse is dead.
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Re: 2017 Season - Will be make the top 4?
Not a chance.
The 2017 team can't be trusted to roll out its best reliably enough. Injuries, individual and collective form slumps, lack of lineup continuity and improved competition means unless we do the unexpected and defy all that top four chat is purely academic.
It'll require truckloads of character. Something that's been in short supply.
BORDERLINE FLYING
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
I think we will end up 14-15 wins. That has us in the mix. It's a month of footy after that in which I know our bests can beat anyone. Why not us?
"Loves a scrap....oh yeah & he's a pretty handy footballer as well"
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
On recent form, My crystal ball says
Originally Posted by
Eastdog
R13 v Demons at Etihad LOSS
R14 v Kangaroos at Etihad 50/50
R15 v Eagles at Etihad 50/50
R16 v Crows at Adelaide Oval LOSS
R17 v Blues at the MCG WIN
R18 v Suns in Cairns LOSS
R19 v Bombers at Etihad LOSS
R20 v Lions at the Gabba 50/50
R21 v Giants at Etihad LOSS
R22 v Power in Ballarat 50/50
R23 v Hawks at Etihad WIN
So 5 losses, 2 wins, 4 50/50s (split the difference - 2 wins) = only another 4 wins.
10 wins in total if we are lucky.
We miss the finals.
The fight is here; I need ammunition, not a ride.
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
I'm with Dry Rot....I said in a post during our bye if we lost to swans we would miss finals....that home run isn't as easy at what it could look like....we aren't playing well enough to be guaranteed to win any of those.
I will never see #16 the same!!
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
Who had all of Port, Richmond & Essendon (and Collingwood or Melbourne come Monday) above us on the ladder by Round 12?
Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
Nope - think we'll be up against it to make the 8 based off everything I've seen this year.
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
Originally Posted by
Dry Rot
On recent form, My crystal ball says
So 5 losses, 2 wins, 4 50/50s (split the difference - 2 wins) = only another 4 wins.
10 wins in total if we are lucky.
We miss the finals.
I have us losing only 2 more games for the season if we play to our capacity - Adelaide and GWS. You're a glass half empty man Rot - doesn't mean you won't be right
After the last 2.5 years under Bevo, I'm happy to forgive them one completely inept and non-competitive performance and back them in to respond strongly. They need to because the season will be shot otherwise, forget about top 4.
"Look at me mate. Look at me. I'm flyin'"
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
It's kind of silly to say that since our form has nosedived it will continue to stay at that level. On that logic the Cats should have written off their season weeks ago.
The question is do we back this team to improve enough to win the games we should win (eg the next two against Melbourne and North) and the games we should have the advantage in (home games against GWS and Port for example)?
Nothing is guaranteed with this team but I'd be surprised if the season went out without us firing a shot. The noises I'm hearing on the board today don't seem that different to those I heard last year just as our performance was not unprecedented (probably the worst under Bevo but not in a different realm to losses we've suffered previously).
I'm 70-80% sure we make the 8
Top 4 will depend on other teams so 15-30%.
If we do another Sydney I'll start thinking about the offseason and 2018
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
I get things aren't great with us but how many reliable sides are there at the moment?
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
With Rocco , and there's no easy game .
Bring our game and we could get on a roll, but roll out that tripe on Thursday night, and we don't make the eight .
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
Originally Posted by
Rocco Jones
I get things aren't great with us but how many reliable sides are there at the moment?
Absolutely as I mentioned in the OP the competition is so even. We have capable players but for whatever reason we aren't showing our full potential and once that can be unleashed again will be good.
"Footscray people are incredible people; so humble. I'm just so happy - ecstatic"
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Re: 2017 Season - Will we make the top 4?
As mentioned above this season has been incredibly even and completely unpredictable. For those that have written us off, I'm sure the Geelong forum was saying similar things before our game. We are still a good side capable of very good football, and there is no team I truly fear in the comp this year anyway, we could easily click and play well again, any team (maybe not GWS) could go on a poor run of form.
Realistically I see the following, although it could improve with a good run of form:
Originally Posted by
Eastdog
R13 v Demons at Etihad 70/30 Probable win
R14 v Kangaroos at Etihad 80/20 Probable Win
R15 v Eagles at Etihad 80/20 Probable Win
R16 v Crows at Adelaide Oval 20/80 Probable Loss
R17 v Blues at the MCG 80/20 Probable Win
R18 v Suns in Cairns 60/40 Probable Win
R19 v Bombers at Etihad 60/40 Probable Win
R20 v Lions at the Gabba 70/30 Probable Win
R21 v Giants at Etihad 40/60 Probable Loss
R22 v Power in Ballarat 50/50 Who knows?
R23 v Hawks at Etihad 70/30 Probable Win
It's a weird year so I would not be surprised at all to see 2/3 upsets in the above, and the odds are not comfortably in our favour for anything, but they are our rough chances as I see it on a case by case basis.
If you extrapolate the odds I've given for the above I have us winning 6/7 games for the remainder of the season. That would put us on 12/13 wins.
I should leave it alone but you're not right