Who are your top 5 and why?
Printable View
Who are your top 5 and why?
I'll be shocked if Bont isn't top 3. I really hope he wins it.
Naicos, Butters, Petracca the obvious competition.
My outsider for top 3 is Jordan Dawson.
Bont.
Petracca.(no Oliver for long stretches might even take it out).
Butters (very noticeable)
Daicos (will lead before injury)
Gulden (stand out for Swans).
I think Serong might be up there too.
Nick Daicos
Marcus Bontempelli
Zak Butters
Christian Petracca
Lachie Neale
Toby Greene will poll well.
I reckon it's a very even four horse race between Daicos, Petracca, Butters and Bont. Having seen all of Bont's season, I just don't feel he has enough top 3 performances, he'll need a lot of the umpires' favour to take it out.
I'll go...
1. Zak Butters
2. Nick Daicos
3. Christian Petracca
4. Marcus Bontempelli
5. Caleb Serong
Gulden will come home hard in the last 10 or so rounds.
I thought Neale was ok but not one of his better seasons yet a couple of Brownlow predictors I have seen have him right up there and even winning it. Surely they are off the mark?
Would Curnow get any votes?
As much as it pangs me to say it, those close losses of ours will hurt Bonts votes for sure.
Those losses turn 3 votes into 2 or 1.
The Champion Data dude gave a good rundown of this on the AFL Exchange pod.
Basically based on past history of goals = votes, he'll poll around 12.
Also ran through reasons why Rozzee will score more than Butters and Brayshaw will outpoll Serong. I'm not really a fan of the count but I enjoyed the way they detailed the ins and outs of the Brownlow vote predictor.
All the way back to 2008 - except 2012 when Swan won - the winner has been top 5 for contested possessions...but NEVER 1st.
Bont was 1st. Swan (to be fair) was 11th so not far off the mark.
Daicos was 78th this year.
If Toby Greene wins a Brownlow before Bonti I'll spew up!