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Thread: The Equation

  1. #1
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    The Equation

    Win 2, Lose 2 - Miss Finals on Percentage (unless something happens)
    Win 3, Lose 1 - Likely Make Finals
    Win 4, Lose 0 - Make Finals

    Brisbane
    Port
    GWS
    Hawthorn

    Discuss.
    Last edited by bulldogtragic; 30-07-2017 at 06:31 PM.
    Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023

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  3. #2
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    Re: The Equation

    We can win all four games if we continue playing like today.
    FFC: Established 1883

    Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.

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  5. #3
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    Re: The Equation

    Quote Originally Posted by bornadog View Post
    We can win all four games if we continue playing like today.
    Would we prefer Port at Etihad (and not Ballarat)? Does that change our odds?
    Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023

  6. #4
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    Re: The Equation

    Quote Originally Posted by bulldogtragic View Post
    Would we prefer Port at Etihad (and not Ballarat)? Does that change our odds?
    I guess we would, however, the time and investment into Ballarat means we will want to win it for not only us but show the people of Ballarat they are backing the right team.
    FFC: Established 1883

    Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.

  7. #5
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    Re: The Equation

    I wonder if Stringer, Tom Boyd, Adams & Dunkley can get back soon? Morris said if we play finals, with the week break, he'd be hoping to return then if we make finals.
    Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023

  8. #6
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    Re: The Equation

    According Bevo Dunkley likely to play VFL next weekend.
    More of an In Bruges guy?

  9. #7
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    Re: The Equation

    We win four. The one I'm worried about is next week more than the others.

    Aside from games against Melbourne, Sydney and Adelaide (second half), we've accounted for ourselves better intensity wise against the better sides.
    Nobody's looking for a puppeteer in today's wintry economic climate.

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    Re: The Equation

    Potential banana skin next week ( danger game)

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  12. #9
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    Re: The Equation

    Brisbane didn't fire a shot in Perth. Should be a percentage booster

    The remaining sides will be a challenge. Hopefully Hawthorn's run comes to an end before the final round and they shut up shop, but the Port & GWS games will be red hot. Hoping our home ground advantage helps us beat at least one
    If you kicked five goals and Tom Boyd kicked five goals, Tom Boyd kicked more goals than you.

    Formerly gogriff

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  14. #10
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    Re: The Equation

    If we win four and the eagles win four, wouldn't they finish above us on percentage?

  15. #11
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    Re: The Equation

    Quote Originally Posted by HOSE B ROMERO View Post
    If we win four and the eagles win four, wouldn't they finish above us on percentage?
    Yes, but they have the following games:

    Round 20 Sun 6 Aug 1:10pm Saints Etihad Stadium
    Round 21 Sat 12 Aug 5:40pm Blues Domain Stadium
    Round 22 Sat 19 Aug 4:35pm Giants Spotless Stadium
    Round 23 Sun 27 Aug 8:00pm Crows Domain Stadium

    I think the Saints will win next week, and they still have GWS and Crows to beat. Should beat Carlton
    FFC: Established 1883

    Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.

  16. #12
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    Re: The Equation

    Quote Originally Posted by HOSE B ROMERO View Post
    If we win four and the eagles win four, wouldn't they finish above us on percentage?
    West coast Sydney and Melbourne have to win all four as well to keep us out if we win all four.
    Bring back the biff

  17. #13
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    Re: The Equation

    Quote Originally Posted by HOSE B ROMERO View Post
    If we win four and the eagles win four, wouldn't they finish above us on percentage?
    We're equal with WCE, Melb & Sydney. If we won all 4, they'd need to win all 4 to keep us out. It seems to be 3 might get us in, but 4 most highly probably gets us in that only 1 of the 12 results in the other games needs to go our way.
    Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023

  18. #14
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    Re: The Equation

    Port Adelaide could lose 3 of their last 4 as well meaning we could take over from them too .
    Basically it's in our hands we win all 4 we are in.
    Bring back the biff

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  20. #15
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    Re: The Equation

    Quote Originally Posted by ledge View Post
    West coast Sydney and Melbourne have to win all four as well to keep us out if we win all four.
    Sydney:

    Round 20 Fri 4 Aug 7:50pm Cats Simonds Stadium
    Round 21 Sat 12 Aug 1:45pm Dockers SCG
    Round 22 Fri 18 Aug 7:20pm Crows Adelaide Oval
    Round 23 Sun 27 Aug 8:00pm Blues SCG

    Melbourne

    Round 20 Sat 5 Aug 1:45pm Giants Manuka Oval
    Round 21 Sun 13 Aug 1:10pm Saints MCG
    Round 22 Sun 20 Aug 1:10pm Lions MCG
    Round 23 Sun 27 Aug 8:00pm Magpies MCG


    Port

    Round 20 Sun 6 Aug 4:10pm Crows Adelaide Oval
    Round 21 Sun 13 Aug 4:10pm Magpies Adelaide Oval
    Round 22 Sat 19 Aug 1:45pm Bulldogs Eureka Stadium
    Round 23 Sun 27 Aug 8:00pm Suns Adelaide Oval
    FFC: Established 1883

    Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.

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