-
The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
So we exchanged our 2nd and The Cows 3rd. This will obviously create a small 'gap' in points. The smaller the gap, the less we have given up and the better the trade gets.
So I will keep tabs on this through next year. And I will start with some conservative assumptions, and not factoring in any free agency compo at the end of second round. Say the Western Bulldogs win one final, finishing 5th with better percentage. The Cows finishing between 14th or 15th (they finished 11th this year, are now rebuilding whilst losing head and other coaches, Keath, Greenwood, Betts, Jacobs, Ellis-Yolmen, Jenkins, Otten, Douglas).
1. Dogs 5th (Pick 31), Cows 15th (Pick 40 - 177 draft points gap), Cows 14th (Pick 41 - 194 draft points gap)
= 177 points is equivalent to Pick 58. 194 draft points equivalent to Pick 56.
Say the dogs won two final finishing 4th.
2. Dogs 4th (Pick 32), Cows 15th (Pick 40 - 155 draft points gap), Cows 14th (Pick 41 - 172 draft points gap)
= 155 points is equivalent to Pick 60. 138 draft points equivalent to Pick 58.
These are merely hypothetical right now and could widen or shorten if we do really well next year, or if Adelaide surprise everyone next year. But if we can keep the gap under 200 points (Pick 56) and hopefully trade a fringe player for something between 56-64 next year, then we most likely won't notice it. With a lot of clubs not rating the mid-to-late draft next year we might just score a fourth rounder for a fringe player and recover the 'gap'. So right now these are just to illustrate the gap and the want to root against Adelaide every game.
Edit: Because we are all about the DVI next year, that makes the Keath trade Pick 45 & future Pick 56-60 on the above as it related to us.
Last edited by bulldogtragic; 19-10-2019 at 11:36 AM.
Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023
-
Post Thanks / Like - 3 Thanks, 0 Likes
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
They say Burt Lancaster has one, but I don't believe them.
-
Post Thanks / Like - 1 Thanks, 0 Likes
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
Currently giving them pick 20 for pick 44, so in the negative draft points against us is 550 draft points. Worth about pick 25.
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
Twodogs
Thread stuck
On what?
More of an In Bruges guy?
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
azabob
On what?
The top of the Unleashed board.
Where else am I going to stick it?
They say Burt Lancaster has one, but I don't believe them.
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
Dumb question: if there are no more games played this year, then how is the 2020 draft order determined?
The fight is here; I need ammunition, not a ride.
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
Dry Rot
Dumb question: if there are no more games played this year, then how is the 2020 draft order determined?
Officially? No real method announced.
How it'll happen? Probably a lottery I'd have to imagine. Maybe weighted lightly but again what's an actual fair way to do that? No idea what that means for future pick trades from previous years either.
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
They could use the same order as last year and tack round one on it to adjust it for this year.
Don't piss off old people
The older we get the less "LIFE IN PRISON" is a deterrent...
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
Dry Rot
Dumb question: if there are no more games played this year, then how is the 2020 draft order determined?
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
hujsh
Officially? No real method announced.
How it'll happen? Probably a lottery I'd have to imagine. Maybe weighted lightly but again what's an actual fair way to do that? No idea what that means for future pick trades from previous years either.
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
Hotdog60
They could use the same order as last year and tack round one on it to adjust it for this year.
I think both of this options have some merit but the lottery might appeal to the AFL the most
I'm still of the belief that they will push the National draft back a year but have something else for the de-listed players due to the list size reductions
Western Bulldogs Football Club "Where it's cool to drool"
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
Hotdog60
They could use the same order as last year and tack round one on it to adjust it for this year.
That was mentioned as "the most likely scenario" when the possibility of a delayed or cancelled AFL system broke.
My idea of just using the round 1 results seems far less likely...
Western Bulldogs: 2016 Premiers
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
Mofra
That was mentioned as "the most likely scenario" when the possibility of a delayed or cancelled AFL system broke.
My idea of just using the round 1 results seems far less likely...
But I really like that idea.
They say Burt Lancaster has one, but I don't believe them.
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
I saw an idea going around that clubs get automatic access to at least one of their NGA players. This seems the most fair and reasonable approach.
- I'm a visionary - Only here to confirm my biases -
-
Post Thanks / Like - 0 Thanks, 3 Likes
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
Dry Rot
Dumb question: if there are no more games played this year, then how is the 2020 draft order determined?
Base it on the ladder positions after round 1. Is an accurate reflection of how the teams performed during the year for games that were available
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
I think if there is no draft this year then the indigenous portion of the NGA is D-O-N-E.
If there is a 2020 draft, the rules will remain in place...
What should I tell her? She's going to ask.
-
Re: The 2020 Rolling Draft Points 'Gap' Thread
![Quote](images/primus/blue/misc/quote_icon.png)
Originally Posted by
mjp
I think if there is no draft this year then the indigenous portion of the NGA is D-O-N-E.
If there is a 2020 draft, the rules will remain in place...
I hope like hell that one of the incentives of using our own cash during this time is that our access to Jamarra is guaranteed.
Our 1954 premiership players are our heroes, and it has to be said that Charlie was their hero.