Didn't Hawthorn pretty much take a bet each way when they went with Roughead (Guarantee) and Buddy (X-Factor but risky). I recall having this type of assement being rationale behind their choices. Guarantee #1 and then the X-Factor at #5. Also, easier to go for the X-Factor when you have already the Guarantee locked in.
(We probably did something similar in the same draft. #3 Griffen Guarantee and then X-Factor with #6 Williams.)
2014 Draft
#1 Deledio
#2 Roughead
#3 Griffen
#4 Tambling
#5 Franklin
#6 Williams
#7 Lewis
#8 Meesen
#9 Russelll
#10 Egan