Finish 3rd & play Geelong.
Finish 4th & play St.Kilda.
Don't have a preference one way or the other.
if we finish 3rd we have beaten collingwood so 3rd for me.
The fundamental question of 3rd vs 4th should be about which scenario represents our best possible chance of winning a QF, not about which scenario gives us the best possible chance of winning our SF if we happen to lose the QF. Based on this year's results, and the form line/injury list of our likely opponents, playing Geelong would undeniably represent the better chance for us to proceed directly to a PF. But at the end of the day, neither opponent is going to roll over and let us tickle their tummy, so we simply have to perform at or near our optimum on the day to give us the best chance of winning. The reality is that we'll more than likely need to beat both teams at some stage in order to win the flag.