Re: 2011 AFL Ladder Predictor
Originally Posted by
Sedat
We'll start about $2.30 this week v Essendon, $1.20 v Port, $4.00 v Hawthorn and about $1.60 v Freo. I don't know how to calculate rolling odds but you'll also need to factor in the likes of Essendon winning no more than 1 out of 3, Freo winning no more than 1 out of 4, North winning no more than 2 out of 3, and Melbourne winning no more than 3 out of 4. All of this is on top of us winning 4 out of 4. Perversely, because we play both Essendon and Freo, we will be big players in shaping the 8. But in terms of actually making the 8, where it all falls down is against the Hawks, who will have Carlton and West Coke breathing down their necks for the double chance. Hawks will have to have an absolute shocker for us to get over them. Also the personnel we have on the park will have a huge bearing - if Morris and Cooney don't get up this week I can't see us beating Essendon at Etihad.
Sad thing is if Goodes kicked what he should have and Razor Ray decided to let the players be the centre of attention instead of himself, we'd be a game out of the 8 behind Freo (and 2 points behind Essendon with a game in hand) with a better percentage than Freo and with our destiny completely in our hands.
Please refer to the The Tragic Comedy Thread
But then again, I'm an Internet poster and Bevo is a premiership coach so draw your own conclusions.