Match Preview - Fremantle v Western Bulldogs Round 4 • Sunday 6 April 2025 • 5:10 PM (AEST) Optus Stadium, Perth

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  • Grantysghost
    Bouncing Strong
    • Apr 2010
    • 18972

    Match Preview - Fremantle v Western Bulldogs Round 4 • Sunday 6 April 2025 • 5:10 PM (AEST) Optus Stadium, Perth

    Match Preview - Fremantle v Western Bulldogs Round 4 • Sunday 6 April 2025 • 5:10 PM (AEST) Optus Stadium, Perth • Whadjuk

    ChatGPT Image Apr 5, 2025, 10_38_53 PM.png

    Hey WOOFERS - I had some time off work this week and thought I'd take a look at our opponents on Sunday. Well did I go down a few rabbit holes ! Anyway I've watched most of their games and tried to do some amateur analysis of the mighty dockers. I don't pretend to know how to beat them I will leave that for others to discuss but I hope I've given you the data you need to come to some conclusions. Any questions fire away. this isn't prediction thread more a how we beat them type idea. BTW i tried my best with the formatting as I did this in word and moved across.
    Also : what was I thinking
    Enjoy.

    Lineups
    [37] Joshua Draper, [25] Alex Pearce, [36] Brennan Cox FB [24] Buku Khamis, [19] Liam Jones, [34] Bailey Williams
    [5] Heath Chapman, [13] Luke Ryan, [6] Jordan Clark HB [29] Lachlan Bramble, [7] Rory Lobb, [31] Bailey Dale
    [44] Matthew Johnson, [2] Jaeger O'Meara, [30] Nathan O'Driscoll C [27] Joel Freijah, [21] Tom Liberatore, [42] Sam Davidson
    [16] Murphy Reid, [32] Michael Frederick, [15] Shai Bolton HF [30] Lachlan McNeil, [33] Aaron Naughton, [9] Ryley Sanders
    [20] Patrick Voss, [35] Josh Treacy, [24] Jye Amiss FF [23] Laitham Vandermeer, [10] Sam Darcy, [22] James Harmes
    [9] Luke Jackson, [3] Caleb Serong, [8] Andrew Brayshaw FOL [44] Tim English, [8] Matthew Kennedy, [20] Ed Richards
    [14] Jeremy Sharp, [34] Corey Wagner, [23] Karl Worner, [41] Bailey Banfield, [43] Isaiah Dudley IC [13] Oskar Baker, [26] Josh Dolan, [12] Harvey Gallagher, [18] James O'Donnell, [14] Rhylee West
    [28] Neil Erasmus, [18] Liam Reidy, [17] Will Brodie EMG [16] Jordan Croft, [32] Arthur Jones, [25] Caleb Poulter
    Team Changes
    Western Bulldogs
    Fremantle In : Jaeger O'Meara, Corey Wagner Out : James Aish, Neil Erasmus
    Milestones
    [8] Andrew Brayshaw – 150th game
    [14] Jeremy Sharp – 50th game
    Form

    Fremantle
    1 Geelong Loss 69 147 -78
    2 Sydney Loss 65 68 -3
    3 West Coast Win 106 68 +38
    WB
    1 North Melbourne Win 113 97 +16
    2 Collingwood Loss 70 76 -6
    3 Carlton Win 83 75 +8
    History

    Fremantle v Western Bulldogs
    All Time 19 21
    At Venue 4 2
    Last 10 Matches 4 6
    2024 R14 12.10 (82) 23.11 (149)
    2024 R7 14.11 (95) 10.11 (71)
    2023 R16 11.7 (73) 16.6 (102)
    2023 R6 10.9 (69) 17.16 (118)
    2022 EF 11.7 (73) 8.12 (60)
    2022 R21 14.11 (95) 11.12 (78)
    2021 R12 9.11 (65) 13.15 (93)
    2020 R18 6.8 (44) 11.8 (74)
    2019 R19 9.12 (66) 16.17 (113)
    2019 R6 13.10 (88) 9.15 (69)
    Key Matchups

    Ruck

    The ruck battle will be huge with Jackson in insane form. He’s not necessarily the greatest tap ruck in the world but does pretty well in this area. His huge strength is his work around the ground. Tim is going to have to be on his game here. If we can halve the battle I’d call that win.

    O’Meara v ?

    He tends to be to go to run with player in the dockers midfield, but I wonder if there’s a matchup for him. Liberatore has been in age defying form so I wouldn’t be surprised to see him go to Libba or even Richards. Without Bont though he may just do a loose run with as opposed to what he did v Heeney.

    Treacy

    Yeah, this is a worry for me. He’s a very tough matchup as he can really motor around the field. I doubt Jones will go to him so I think we might go with Khamis for the mobility? Jones may take Voss and try and get off him whilst Lobb may take Amiss.

    Forward retention

    I guess this is our small forwards v their small defenders/mids/wings. They really thrive off of defensive pressure and rebound from this zone so our smalls in McNeil, LVDM and West are going to need to be on their game here to ensure they don’t get out easily.

    Darcy v Pearce

    My guess is this will be the matchup Freo want.I’m ok with that I don’t think anyone can go with Darcy and Pearce is a good defender, but he can be a bit clumsy for mine. So expecting a few Darcy frees ( yeah right ).
    Naughton will get Cox and Ryan will probably take the third tall and try and zone off.

    Fremantle Analysis

    Stats that matter

    How Freo Are Tracking in the Contest

    Freo are doing a lot right around the ball so far this season. They're edging their opponents in key contested areas — nothing massive, but enough to show they're holding their own in the guts. Clearances, contested footy, and ground balls are all in the green which is their brand of footy under Longmuir.
    Despite getting their hands dirty at the coalface, they’re getting smashed in tackles. Could point to them owning more of the footy or maybe just not bringing the heat when they don’t have it, however average is skewed by the -30 v the Cats.
    Stat Category Fremantle Diff Bulldogs Diff
    Total Clearances +1.67 +4.33
    Contested Possessions +2.67 +10.00
    Ground Ball Gets +1.00 +10.67
    Post-Clearance Contested Possessions +2.33 +8.00
    Tackles –15.33 +10.00
    Where the Scores Are Coming From – Freo vs Dogs

    Fremantle have been at their most damaging when turning the ball over and launching from the back half. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are a bit more balanced — they still score well off turnovers, but their stoppage game is a bigger driver, and they’re more potent from centre bounces too.
    Both sides can hurt you in different ways, which sets up an interesting contrast for Sunday: Freo will want to intercept and rebound, while the Dogs will try to win it at the coalface and surge forward with numbers.
    Score Source / Origin Fremantle Avg Pts Bulldogs Avg Pts
    From Forward Half 31.33 32.00
    From Defensive Half 33.00 29.67
    From Turnover 51.67 45.00
    From Stoppages 23.33 35.00
    From Centre Bounces 15.67 22.67
    From Kick-Ins 5.00 6.33
    Phases of play

    When they have it

    Kick outs
    Their one wood is to go long out to the bench (Northern) side where they have the mass of their players around 50-70 metres out.
    Jackson and Treacy are often the targets.
    Have seen variations where they spread across the entire field but this has been used sparingly.
    Clarke or Ryan the most used. Wagner at times.
    dataurl279016.jpg

    Under Pressure

    Lots of quick hands to exit and find a loose. Can get themselves into trouble by going backwards and over using it by hand. Like to spot up a kicker if they can to get it to a marking target.

    Turnover

    Big strength of theirs is the ability to create turnover and score. Once they’re out they generally find a target and create overlap to fashion a shot at goal. Defensive half turnovers have been impressive creating scoring chains for d50, as well as their ability to lock the ball in their forward half and create repeat entries.
    O’Driscoll very dangerous if he gets it forward side of centre.

    When the opposition has it

    Make the ground skinny

    Most teams do this and Freo are no exception. Like to protect the fat side by zoning off when teams are exiting d50. They do this very well and create many repeat entries off turnover.
    Press up hard on the ball carrier.
    Opposition often needs to switch to create an outlet.
    Ryan plays as the interceptor and zones off about a kick behind play.
    Jackson will push back and create an extra tall in defence and gets involved in the rebound as well on turnover game.



    dataurl279018.jpg

    Protect the corridor and try and prevent quick transition so they can always have numbers back behind the ball. Crowd the d50 and work on creating turnover and rebound.

    In dispute

    Stoppage

    Centre Bounce

    Often deploy the same setup with O’Meara as the defensive midfielder, Brayshaw and Serong more attacking. Serong is generally the one they want on the end of it where Brayshaw can be in a more neutral position at times.
    This is the typical setup. It can vary but they go back to this often.

    dataurl279020.jpg

    Around the ground stoppages.

    Numbers is the name of the game. They tend to push up a lot of players to the stoppage and try and win possession and work it out by hand.
    O’Meara will play the blocking role trying to free up a Serong type to get some separation and consequent overlap.
    Jackson is big at the stop.

    Loose ball

    Work hard to get numbers to the ball. Get lots of numbers “on the screen” and block well for team mates to get them into good position. Using the +1 in the midfield to create the outnumber often to regain possession.

    Structure

    Defence

    Fremantle’s 2025 backline setup continues to follow a clear formula: three tall defenders, anchored around Alex Pearce, with layered support from a group of versatile rebounders and lockdown options.
    • Alex Pearce typically takes the opposition’s number one key forward. His role is purely defensive – big body, strong positioning, and rarely leaves the 30-metre arc.
    • Brennan Cox handles the second tall or more mobile marking target, with flexibility to cover ground and help in aerial contests.
    • Luke Ryan is the key piece they try to free up as much as possible. He’s deployed as the main intercept defender, zoning off, reading the play, and launching rebound chains. Fremantle will often structure around creating Ryan as the spare or third-up option.
    Outside of the talls, Corey Wagner and Jordan Clark are used to inject run and carry from the back half. Both are frequently tasked with kick-out duties, along with Ryan, looking to generate speed and width in transition. Clark in particular has license to take the game on, often becoming the first overlap runner out of defence.

    Midfield

    Luke Jackson has stepped into the lead ruck role and is thriving. He’s not just contesting stoppages; he’s become a genuine link-up threat, regularly pushing back to support the defence and then working forward to hit the scoreboard or finish chains of play. Right now, he’s a serious danger man and central to their transition game.
    The midfield trio behind the ruck is well defined:
    • Brayshaw and Serong are well known guns and are pivotal to their clearance game.
    • Jaeger O’Meara handles the defensive side, and he’s been tasked with run-with roles at times — notably shadowing Heeney against Sydney. His presence adds some accountability when Freo are up against midfielders who can drift forward.
    On the outside, there’s a mix of quality and question marks:
    • Nathan O’Driscoll is emerging as a genuine wing weapon. He provides strong overlap and can stretch opposition structures when he gets on his bike in transition. The other wing is usually Sharp and he really hasn't impressed me so far. I think they struggle with that second wing role.
    Structurally, Freo like to bring a half-forward up to the contest to create an extra number or offer a different dynamic.
    • Matthew Johnson is looking like a real find — classy, composed, and has been used in this high half-forward/mid connector role. He spent more time on-ball with O’Meara out late against the Eagles and didn’t look out of place.
    • Shai Bolton has been used sparingly in the midfield so far but is slowly getting more time on ball. Class player as we know.

    Forward
    Fremantle’s forward line operates with a three-tall setup
    • Josh Treacy has become arguably their most important forward. He consistently presents as the outlet target up on the wing or high half-forward, often used in tandem with Luke Jackson as the long down-the-line option. He’s a strong runner with elite endurance and sets the tone with his workrate and physicality. He kicked 45 goals in 2024 and is critical in setting up territory and repeat entries.
    • Jye Amiss plays deepest, working from inside 50 and leading at the ball. He’s Fremantle’s cleanest finisher inside forward 50 and while not a high-possession player, he can punish you with limited looks. His craft is solid, and he’s dangerous if allowed space to lead into.
    • Pat Voss rounds out the key forward trio. He offers a big body and leads with intent, but his goalkicking is still a work in progress, which has cost him in big moments. Still, his physical presence helps bring the ball to ground and creates space for the smalls.
    Around them:
    • Michael Frederick typically plays as the dynamic mid sized forward — pushing high and bursting back with speed. He’s also capable of drawing a wing or rebounding defender into uncomfortable spots.
    • The other half-forward role is often filled by a rotating midfielder, such as Matt Johnson or Shai Bolton, who push up to stoppages and then slide back forward to create mismatches or link chains.
    • One exciting development is the inclusion of Murphy Reid (#17 draft pick), who has been playing forward with increasing impact. He’s clean by foot, calm under pressure, and looks like he could evolve into a genuine weapon around the arc with his ball use and decision-making.
    Attached Files
    Last edited by Grantysghost; 06-04-2025, 10:00 AM.
    BT COME BACK!​
  • Uninformed
    Draftee
    • Jan 2023
    • 826

    #2
    Great analysis thanks GG. The greatest weakness I see is the stoppage and contest advantage we seem to have. On paper they look very very good and a real test for us.

    Comment

    • Grantysghost
      Bouncing Strong
      • Apr 2010
      • 18972

      #3
      Originally posted by Uninformed
      Great analysis thanks GG. The greatest weakness I see is the stoppage and contest advantage we seem to have. On paper they look very very good and a real test for us.
      Cheers I enjoyed it, well for the first hour

      Yeah they're a good turnover side and have some serious wheels on the outside. They focus on being a big clearance / contest side which they've been a bit down on.

      Bolton is working his way into the midfield rotations and I expect him to spend more time in there v us. Coupled with Serong and Brayshaw our mids are going to have to be right on their game.

      Also it's their third game in a row at Perth Stadium which is surely an advantage.
      BT COME BACK!​

      Comment

      • Grantysghost
        Bouncing Strong
        • Apr 2010
        • 18972

        #4
        I've forgot to mention young Isaiah Dudley. Small forward and is Eddie Betts nephew.
        Kicked a couple in a short period v the Eagles, looks a good prospect.
        BT COME BACK!​

        Comment

        • Bornadog
          WOOF Clubhouse Leader
          • Jan 2007
          • 66774

          #5
          Huge preview GG, really enjoyed the read, thank you.

          The danger man is Serong who is in good form. Maybe Harmes runs with him, a bit like he did against Cripps and try to stop him around the stoppages. I don't like Buku on Treacy, pretty sure he got beaten last time we played over there.
          FFC: Established 1883

          Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.

          Comment

          • Grantysghost
            Bouncing Strong
            • Apr 2010
            • 18972

            #6
            Originally posted by Bornadog
            Huge preview GG, really enjoyed the read, thank you.

            The danger man is Serong who is in good form. Maybe Harmes runs with him, a bit like he did against Cripps and try to stop him around the stoppages. I don't like Buku on Treacy, pretty sure he got beaten last time we played over there.
            Treacy is a worry.

            He's a very tough matchup.
            BT COME BACK!​

            Comment

            • jazzadogs
              Bulldog Team of the Century
              • Oct 2008
              • 5652

              #7
              Originally posted by Grantysghost

              Treacy is a worry.

              He's a very tough matchup.
              Would it be Jones deep (likely Amiss), Lobb on Treacy (has the endurance), Buku on Voss?

              Comment

              • Grantysghost
                Bouncing Strong
                • Apr 2010
                • 18972

                #8
                Originally posted by jazzadogs

                Would it be Jones deep (likely Amiss), Lobb on Treacy (has the endurance), Buku on Voss?

                Great question ! Could certainly be that way. Lobb being on Treacy only issue for me is he would be dragged away from defence as he really gets on his bike.
                The Eagles had McGovern on Voss I think to allow him to intercept.
                Last time we played them at Marvel Buku started on Treacy, however they had Jackson as a forward. Jones was looking after Jackson and Amiss I believe O'Donnell.

                Amazingly - we didn't have Lobb as a defender at Rd 14!
                BT COME BACK!​

                Comment

                • hujsh
                  Hall of Fame
                  • Nov 2007
                  • 11844

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Grantysghost


                  Great question ! Could certainly be that way. Lobb being on Treacy only issue for me is he would be dragged away from defence as he really gets on his bike.
                  The Eagles had McGovern on Voss I think to allow him to intercept.
                  Last time we played them at Marvel Buku started on Treacy, however they had Jackson as a forward. Jones was looking after Jackson and Amiss I believe O'Donnell.

                  Amazingly - we didn't have Lobb as a defender at Rd 14!
                  If I remember right it was Lobb's best game as a forward in some time which made it hard to drop him as Darcy came back off suspension. Since we couldn't play all 4 tall forwards we tried Lobb back.
                  [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]

                  Comment

                  • Stevo
                    Senior Player
                    • May 2008
                    • 1040

                    #10
                    Granty, You're setting a high benchmark and that is clearly a post of the year candidate. Thank you.
                    I really enjoyed the extra effort to go through some of the Fremantle players.
                    I've got some confidence we can win this one and going through your analysis helps me with that.,

                    Comment

                    • Dogs 24/7
                      Senior Player
                      • Sep 2007
                      • 1197

                      #11
                      Amazing GG. I'm loading up for another read. This is better than the Sunday papers.

                      Comment

                      • Grantysghost
                        Bouncing Strong
                        • Apr 2010
                        • 18972

                        #12
                        Originally posted by hujsh

                        If I remember right it was Lobb's best game as a forward in some time which made it hard to drop him as Darcy came back off suspension. Since we couldn't play all 4 tall forwards we tried Lobb back.
                        That's right he kicked 3 goals and was one of our best.
                        Did we move him the next week?
                        Ballsy !

                        Edit : yes we had the bye the next week after that North at Marvel. Lobb played back for the first time.
                        BT COME BACK!​

                        Comment

                        • Grantysghost
                          Bouncing Strong
                          • Apr 2010
                          • 18972

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Stevo
                          Granty, You're setting a high benchmark and that is clearly a post of the year candidate. Thank you.
                          I really enjoyed the extra effort to go through some of the Fremantle players.
                          I've got some confidence we can win this one and going through your analysis helps me with that.,
                          I do wonder if I'm going to regret this rod I've made for my back!
                          Truthfully it was a labour of love. I'll try and put something together each week and refine it with the help of some learned woofers.
                          Cheers for the feedback.
                          BT COME BACK!​

                          Comment

                          • azabob
                            Hall of Fame
                            • Sep 2008
                            • 15322

                            #14
                            GG, great work.

                            I am really worried with their outside run and I forgot they now have Shia Bolton who loves, loves, loves playing against us.

                            Gut feel is Kennedy, Harmes and Davidson are vital to shutting down their run when the game is on their terms.

                            I really hope English and Naughton have set themselves for huge games.

                            English breaking even with Jackson in the hit outs and around the ground is vital.

                            Naughton getting on his bike to draw either Draper away from Darcy and hoping JOD can limit the impact of Ryan / Cox with West taking the other one.

                            Massive game for both clubs.
                            More of an In Bruges guy?

                            Comment

                            • Grantysghost
                              Bouncing Strong
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 18972

                              #15
                              Originally posted by azabob
                              GG, great work.

                              I am really worried with their outside run and I forgot they now have Shia Bolton who loves, loves, loves playing against us.

                              Gut feel is Kennedy, Harmes and Davidson are vital to shutting down their run when the game is on their terms.

                              I really hope English and Naughton have set themselves for huge games.

                              English breaking even with Jackson in the hit outs and around the ground is vital.

                              Naughton getting on his bike to draw either Draper away from Darcy and hoping JOD can limit the impact of Ryan / Cox with West taking the other one.

                              Massive game for both clubs.
                              Yep Bolton has been slowly working into their mid rotations so he's a worry.

                              They've got another mid / hf that many wouldn't have heard about in Johnson #44. He's a tall mid who has a big body and really looks a prospect. Was very impressed with him.

                              Another I was super impressed with was O'Driscoll on the wing. Serious wheels.

                              I think the turnover and clearance stats will go a long way to winning this one.

                              If we can limit our turnovers and their ability to score from it then we are a big chance.
                              BT COME BACK!​

                              Comment

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