The Final Eight

[merantau]

After exhaustive consultations with the Delphic Oracle, this is how I believe, and sincerely wish, (in the case of Hawthorn) the final eight will pan out
1. Crows 72pt
2. Pies 72pt
3. Cats 68pt
4. Lions 66pt
5. Dogs 60pt
6. Suns 60pt
7. Freo 60pt
8. GWS 60pt
9. Hawthorn 56pt

You may like to read tea leaves, the sand in the bottom of a glass of Turkish, chicken's entrails, consult "Madam Ruth, you know the gypsy with the gold capped tooth", conduct a seance to get in touch with spirits from the past - Norm Smith, the doyen of VFL coaches, Alan Killigrew, the "Hot Gospeler" of St.Kilda and North Melbourne fame (still, I believe the only coach in the history of the game, to get in to a half time punch with a serving Victoria Police Officer, who happened to be playing for Geelong. This occurred in the players race at half time down at Kardinia Park. No charges were laid)

I invite others to employ whatever method floats their boat.

[Uninformed]

In your extremely well researched order, does that mean we play all our games at the G until picking up our silverware?

[boydogs]

In your extremely well researched order, does that mean we play all our games at the G until picking up our silverware?

The loser of 1v4 hosts the winner of 5v8, with 1v4 being Crows v Lions we would be away week 2

[Bornadog]

The loser of 1v4 hosts the winner of 5v8, with 1v4 being Crows v Lions we would be away week 2

Good to see you post boydogs - keep it up

[Uninformed]

The loser of 1v4 hosts the winner of 5v8, with 1v4 being Crows v Lions we would be away week 2

Darn. Thought it was the other way around. Always get it wrong.

[merantau]

Lovely to see Hawthorn get done. They have no excuses. They left nothing in the shed but still came up short.

[boydogs]

1. Crows 72pt
2. Pies 72pt
3. Cats 68pt
4. Suns 68pt
5. Freo 64pt
6. Lions 62pt
7. Dogs 60pt
8. GWS 60pt
9. Hawthorn 56pt

That looks ugly, we win our last 3 but have to play away against the reigning premiers week 1

Compared to merantau's, I have Suns + 2 wins, Freo + 1 win, Lions - 1 win
Freo & Lions would be because they play each other round 23 in Perth, I've picked Freo he's picked Lions - we want Brisbane to win that so we finish ahead of Freo
Suns have Essendon at home, Port away, GWS home, Carlton away - I think they will win them all

[Bumper Bulldogs]

Ok I’ve had a crack also. Last night and again today

1 Collingwood
2, Adelaide
3. Geelong
4. Gold Coast
5. Brisbane
6. Western Bulldogs
7. GWS
8. Fremantle

So we get to beat GWS three times in a season, but then run into the Cats or Crows

[DOG GOD]

However it works out I don’t want to have to play GC at their home in the elimination final. You can bet your life the AFL will make sure the umpires are seeing every possible free kick towards them for the feel good story of winning their first final

[DOG GOD]

I honestly think we will lose 1 of either melb or freo, finishing 9th going by my predictor .
suns won’t lose again and with 1 game in hand will make 4th


Adel

Geel

Coll

Gcoast

Freo

Bris

Haw

Giants

[jazzadogs]

Crows, Cats, Pies, Suns are locked in.

We have the best percentage of the remaining teams, so just need to match them on wins. Assuming we win all three games...

Lions 1.5 games clear so we need them to lose two from here. Possible with Pies tonight, then Freo in Freo, Hawks at Gabba. But unlikely. It is better for us that they beat Freo and the Hawks.

Hawks 1 game clear at the moment, so we need them to lose one of Pies, Demons, Lions. If they lose against Pies AND lions then we can drop the Freo game and still make it.

Freo 1 game clear with an extra game in hand. Blues, Port, Lions (WA), dogs. Assuming we beat them, we also need them to lose one of the other games. This is less likely, and I think we almost want them to be secure in their position before we play them.

Giants 1 game clear. Roos, Suns, Saints. If they lose to the Suns, then we've got them.

So the big roots for us, in order of importance, outside of our own games:
Giants v Suns - rooting for a Suns win
We death ride the Hawks against both Pies and Lions. I can see them beating pies and losing to lions. Any loss for them is good for us.
Freo v Lions - rooting for a lions win.

There are multiple avenues for us to get in if we're good enough, and one slim path (Hawks lose to Pies AND Lions) if we're not good enough to beat Freo.

[doggies ftw]

Would be a dream to get Freo/GWS at home into Cats in the semi at the G. Would back us in both. Do not want Hawks, or Lions away. I have us playing GWS or Hawks at home depending on whether Hawks get one of Pies or Lions (which I think they do to be honest)

Weve actually probably done ourselves a disservice beating GWS by so much, we want them to beat Hawks on % badly. Just don’t want the hawks they have the wood over us big time.

[1eyedog]

Giants have North at home next week I'd expect a 100 point win after Thursday night.

[CarnTheScray]

Hawks have the wood over us and Adelaide have the perfect match ups and are the best team in it. I think we are a chance against every other team in that top 8.

[Bulldog Joe]

We will find out shortly, but Collingwood could lose the next 3 Lions, Hawks, Crows and need to beat Melbourne in the last round to qualify.
Hawthorn could win their next 2 and need to beat Brisbane in the last round to qualify,
Brisbane could win tonight but lose to Sydney (unlikely) and Freo and need to beat Hawthorn to qualify. Or lose tonight and be on the edge.

Lots of ifs and maybes but lots to play out yet. We just need to win.