Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

[mjp]

I'm hoping I'm wrong but I can't see it.

We've been 'UP' since the Bombers game...and if you are an 'expected score' true believer (expected score says we should have beaten the bombers but for their incredible accuracy and our poor kicking at goal) you'd probably say we'd been up since the Melbourne game.

We've kind of reached 'breaking point' with injuries in our front half - we need to SCORE to beat the Lions.

Brisbane JUST had a week off...and are pretty healthy. The players they have lost are basically NOT coming back (a cluster of ACL's).

We haven't had a bye yet (somehow Sydney have had two, somehow BRISBANE have had two!) and the players have got to be feeling it and looking forward to the week off.

Given our forward line personnel issues we would need to win this 9-goals to 8 or something...I just can't see how we restrict Brisbane to that given the players they have available:

Morris and Lohman kick one between them.
Bailey gets one.
Ah Chee gets one.
Cameron gets two-three.
Daniher gets two-three.
Neale/Dunkley/McCluggage get one between them.

That's 8 - BEST CASE scenario...How do we get to 10? How do we score enough to win this??

West gets 1.
Bont gets 1.
Treloar and Macrae get 1 between them.
English gets 1.
JUH gets 2.
Lobb gets 1.

Garcia maybe 1??

Geez. I'm just not seeing it!!!

[Yankee Hotel Foxtrot]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

Stick your bloody logic and well articulated and defensible argument, way, way up your backside Mike!


Obviously the solution is VDM is available, plays and kicks 2.

Nuff said.

[Grantysghost]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

I'm hoping I'm wrong but I can't see it.

We've been 'UP' since the Bombers game...and if you are an 'expected score' true believer (expected score says we should have beaten the bombers but for their incredible accuracy and our poor kicking at goal) you'd probably say we'd been up since the Melbourne game.

We've kind of reached 'breaking point' with injuries in our front half - we need to SCORE to beat the Lions.

Brisbane JUST had a week off...and are pretty healthy. The players they have lost are basically NOT coming back (a cluster of ACL's).

We haven't had a bye yet (somehow Sydney have had two, somehow BRISBANE have had two!) and the players have got to be feeling it and looking forward to the week off.

Given our forward line personnel issues we would need to win this 9-goals to 8 or something...I just can't see how we restrict Brisbane to that given the players they have available:

Morris and Lohman kick one between them.
Bailey gets one.
Ah Chee gets one.
Cameron gets two-three.
Daniher gets two-three.
Neale/Dunkley/McCluggage get one between them.

That's 8 - BEST CASE scenario...How do we get to 10? How do we score enough to win this??

West gets 1.
Bont gets 1.
Treloar and Macrae get 1 between them.
English gets 1.
JUH gets 2.
Lobb gets 1.

Garcia maybe 1??

Geez. I'm just not seeing it!!!

Um hello.... Geez what more can young Lachlan do to get noticed!

[hujsh]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

Honestly this reads more like a fantasy football argument than a real football argument. Goals aren't just assigned to players it's an outcome based from all lines of play. Collingwood would have been thinking the same thing about their forward line but it was ultimately a question of who controlled the midfield/how long does Daicos get to run the game.

We might not be as efficient going forward, we might waste good looks at goal, but I'm sure we'll create the opportunities if the team is 'on'. Macrae kicked two goals last week. McNeil too. Unexpected goal kickers pop up every week.

I'm not too worried about the bye either it's rarely an advantage to be the team coming off the bye.

This isn't to say we're set for an easy night. Still don't trust this team and neither of our remaining key forwards have been reliable shots at goal this year so it does have a stink of 'lost it with bad kicking' about it

[The Pie Man]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

I’d love to see some stats around teams coming off the bye in the regular season - it feels like we struggle.

Brisbane gave up 7 goals to Gunston & Chol last time out - maybe the bye has helped them reset, but they’ve been pretty average to date, and we (despite the 1st quarter last week) have looked good for the first time in quite a while.

If there’s any complacency amongst the group, then they’re bereft of logic given our outs, and the opportunities those outs continue to present guys like Gallagher, Garcia & Sanders (and Lobb)


Will be very disappointed if we can’t get this done

[hujsh]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

I have a better answer now:

Buku adds 3 goals so there you go

[Jeanette54]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

I'm hoping I'm wrong but I can't see it.
That's 8 - BEST CASE scenario...How do we get to 10? How do we score enough to win this??



Geez. I'm just not seeing it!!!

Easy answer. We turn up, play like we mean it, and go home. QED.

[josie]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

Treloar or Bont to kick multiple goals, McNeill at least one, Dale a sneaky one or two with those beautiful roosts. Lobb or English to kick at least 2. Williams or Daniel might snag one. Gallagher to finally kick at least one of those snaps. And time for Sanders to kick his debut goal too.

No way do we let hot pocket Dunks side win this easily. It’ll be a dogfight and the closer the game gets the more I’m thinking our dogs are gonna come out on top.

[Grantysghost]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

Plus Lions are terrible.

4 wins and a draw from 11 games.

At Marvel im very confident.

I think Cameron is an obvious threat, Duryea probably gets the job to start. He hasn't been in awesone form, nor Bailey. They are missing Mcarthy so Rayner probably will be that guy.

JOD to Rayner, Keath to Hipwood, Jones to Daniher.

Lohmann is an interesting matchup, great little player.

The one place i worry is Libba and whether he comes back out of form. Their midfield goes ok, not amazing but ok. I think we have them covered. Neale the obvious one. Treloar and Bont's form should see us on top there.

Our forwards, we've never really relied on one or two so i see a decent spread like last week. Darcy kicked two so hopefully Lobb steps up with a couple to compensate.

[chef]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

If we play like we have the last couple of weeks we'll be fine, just got to nail our chances.

[jeemak]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

We really need English to get on the end of a few for us to cover both Naughton and Darcy, while JUH has to nail his opportunities.

Restricting Brisbane's scoring will be key, however. If we put the pressure on like we did in the last quarter against the Pies we will restrict their productivity and give ourselves a chance of jagging a few from multiple goal kickers.

[Grantysghost]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

We really need English to get on the end of a few for us to cover both Naughton and Darcy, while JUH has to nail his opportunities.

Restricting Brisbane's scoring will be key, however. If we put the pressure on like we did in the last quarter against the Pies we will restrict their productivity and give ourselves a chance of jagging a few from multiple goal kickers.

Yes v good call re English, especially when Lobb rucks.
I wonder if we try to run Mcinerny into the ground with a higher rotation than normal?

[ledge]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

They get Hipwood back, he can’t get a kick , watch him kick 4 . Or Daniher actually kick accurate.

[Mantis]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

Um hello.... Geez what more can young Lachlan do to get noticed!

Do it more than once.

[MrMahatma]

Re: Can someone explain to me how we beat Brisbane?

Marra gets 3
English 1
Lobb 2
West 1
Bont 2
Libba 1
VDM2
Dale 1
Buku 2
Sanders 1

I’m sure I’ve forgotten a few. We win by 7-10 goals.
Relax. Enjoy the next bit… finals are coming. It’s our flag.