Re: "butterfly effect" - 23rd man
Home advantage is real. Number of different reasons but is statistically significant.
AFL = 58% (home advantage 9.8 pts)
NFL = 57% (home advantage 3.3 pts)
One day Cricket = 58% (5.6 runs)
Football - EPL = 48% win, 26% tie (home advantage 0.97 goals)
Source: Run like you stole something - Damian Farrow & Justin Kemp http://www.amazon.co.uk/Run-Like-You.../dp/1741140676
In my opinion the crowd is a significant factor.
(An aside. Interesting stat; between 86 and 99, the Indian cricket team won 17 of its 30 home tests and only one out of 46 away! Probably more to do with dodgy umps and pitches with this one.)
Home advantage is real. Number of different reasons but is statistically significant.
AFL = 58% (home advantage 9.8 pts)
NFL = 57% (home advantage 3.3 pts)
One day Cricket = 58% (5.6 runs)
Football - EPL = 48% win, 26% tie (home advantage 0.97 goals)
Source: Run like you stole something - Damian Farrow & Justin Kemp http://www.amazon.co.uk/Run-Like-You.../dp/1741140676
In my opinion the crowd is a significant factor.
(An aside. Interesting stat; between 86 and 99, the Indian cricket team won 17 of its 30 home tests and only one out of 46 away! Probably more to do with dodgy umps and pitches with this one.)
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