Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

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  • comrade
    Hall of Fame
    • Jun 2008
    • 17924

    Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

    2010 AFL SEASON
    ROUND 1 - MATCH PREVIEW


    WESTERN BULLDOGS versus COLLINGWOOD MAGPIES
    Docklands, Sunday March 27th, 2:10pm

    ---------------------------------------------

    WHEN THEY LAST MET:

    Round 22, 2009 Home and Away Season
    Docklands, August 30th

    Western Bulldogs 100
    defeated
    Collingwood 76

    With third spot up for grabs, the Bulldogs met the Pies in the last game of the home and away season.

    After a tight first half, the Bulldogs switched to plan B - denying Collingwood consistent use of the ball. By cutting off supply to their front runners, the Bulldogs were able to apply scoreboard pressure, before breaking the game open in the fourth quarter.

    Boyd (35 disposals) was at his ball winning best, with Brad Johnson ending the night with four majors, including the late goal that secured third position on the ladder.

    ---------------------------------------------

    PRE-AMBLE

    Here we are. The real stuff.

    There's a buzz at the Kennel, everyone wants to jump aboard the Bulldogs wagon. For the long suffering fans, the pre-season has presented a dilemma: Do we soak in the wave of optimism and euphoria or screw that damn lid on tight?

    Well, the pre-season is over and means nothing now. Round 1, against a genuine contender who matches up well against us will show whether we are as good as we think (hope) we are.

    With a tough first 6 rounds, a win straight up is vital....

    ---------------------------------------------

    SELECTION TABLE: BULLDOGS

    An impressive pre-season, culminating in the club’s first piece of senior silverware for 40 years, means that spots in the 22 are at an absolute premium. We’re in an enviable position in that we probably have 25 or more players who have genuine claims on playing top line AFL football. Unfortunately, 25 doesn’t go in to 22.

    With Johnson looking more likely as the game draws nearer, and Hahn training without issue, there are 2 spots up for grabs and three players pushing hard.

    Andrejs Everitt has been our biggest improver over the pre-season. After a tumultuous trade week, Dre has put his head down on the training track, running with the lead groups and pushing himself physically for the first time in his career at the Bulldogs.

    His NAB Cup form has been solid without being outstanding, but he’s competed well in defence, particularly one on one, which has been a glaring weakness for the past 2 years.

    Brodie Moles has been the suprise packet of our pre-season. He’s ready made - clean at ground level, neat with his kicking and strong in the clinches. As a rookie, new to the club, he has not put a foot wrong.

    Josh Hill has continued to excite and frustrate in equal measures - the remaining hairs on Rocket’s head must fear for their longevity when Josh takes the field.

    He’s teamed well with Hall at times, floating as third man up to take the ball when the opposition defender has his hands full with big Bazza. But, as is his want, Josh has gone missing for long stretches of play. He is a great talent, and provides another marking target which may come on handy if Johnson has reduced game time this week.

    For mine, Everitt is a lock based on a solid pre-season and his ability to provide extra defensive cover. The Moles/Hill decision is less clear cut - with both Johnson and Hahn just about locked in, do we need another mid-sized forward? Is extra midfield depth more valuable against a pretty deep (but slow) Magpie engine room?

    Too close to call, but Moles could be unlucky.

    SELECTION TABLE: MAGPIES

    After a solid pre-season, the Magpies have an almost fully healthy list to choose from.

    With the addition of Ball and Jolly, and an even playing group, spots in their 22 are going to be hard to come by.

    Steele Sidebottom, Shane O’Bree, John McCarthy and Sharrod Wellingham are all fighting for midfield spots, with Ben Reid and Nathan Brown on the selection radar, but probably not required against the Dogs, with Presti to take Hall and Leigh Brown a head of the queue.

    They may not be jam packed with stars, but their depth is good, with plenty of young players who have had exposure to top line senior football.

    ---------------------------------------------

    KEY MATCH UPS

    Picken vs Didak/Lockyer/Thomas

    Despite a blue collar vibe, the Magpies have some of the league’s best front runners (cheats). In the Round 15 game last year, Lockyer snuck out the front on numerous occasions to put us to the sword.

    Picken plays well on outside types and may rotate on all three. He could also play a sweeping role, sitting just outside the congestion, denying the likes of Lockyer the chance to run away un-impeded. Stopping these types will go a long way to choking up their attacking forays, and will allow the likes of Lake and Morris to destroy the high balls that come in.

    Jolly/Fraser v Hudson/Minson

    The Pies’ boom recruit gets to match up against the bare knuckled (and severely underrated) duo of Hudson and Minson. Hudson has performed well against Jolly in our last few outings against Sydney, and Minson has come back nicely from his Bonsoy scare.

    The Jolly/Fraser combination will no doubt try to stretch our ruckmen around the ground, and up forward We may see Everitt play a run with role for periods ala his Round 22 performance last year.

    Winning the ruck duel, giving our midfield first use and providing quick ball movement for our forwards first use will go a long way to putting a match winning score on the board. Watch for our big guys to be aggressive and take it to Jolly and Fraser from the first bounce.

    Johnson vs Shaw


    With Johnno coming off no game time over the pre-season, he will need to use all of his smarts to curtail the defensive run of Heath Shaw. The Magpies playmaker, Shaw is a crucial piece of the Collingwood attacking puzzle. When he plays well and is given a licence to run and create, they generally win.

    Johnson will probably stay deeper than he normally would, due to his lack of pre-season game time and as a defensive ploy against Shaw. Despite his great attacking instincts, Shaw does struggle closer to goal when forced to play a close checking role. If Johnno gets the best of it and comes away with a few goals whilst keeping Shaw quiet, we should win.

    The 6 headed defense monster vs our forward line

    Collingwood has mastered the art of ‘communal defending’. Very rarely are Harry O, Presti or Maxwell left one out with their direct opponent. They’re happy to let opposition forwards run high up the field, allowing them to peel off and provide extra coverage when the ball comes in.

    Winning the clearances and moving the ball quickly will help to isolate their defenders. Playing through the direct opponents of Maxwell and Harry O (guys like Higgins and Murphy) will be crucial in breaking up the structure.

    In stead of re-wording Lantern’s preview from last year, here’s what he wrote about the Collingwood defensive unit:

    Though a poor facsimile of Brian Lake, Nick Maxwell performs a comparable role down back for Collingwood, and will chop off any ill-considered forays forward, and won't be shy about taking the body in the process. Therefore, whether rapid-fire or patient as the situation dictates, we must be judicious with our ball-use entering forward 50, lest we spoonfeed the likes of Davis, O'Brien, Lockyer and damaging ball-carrier Heath Shaw, who ranks 2nd only to Sydney-based brother Rhyce for running bounces in the AFL.

    Likewise, under no circumstance can we succumb to the trap of long bombs to a goal-square-bound Minson, who'll be a sitting duck for Prestigiacomo's superior spoiling, and in-turn Heath Shaw's rebound. Our small forwards must continue to be diligent about locking the ball into our forward-50, but we can't afford to have them chasing tail all night thanks to indiscriminate attacks.
    Pretty much nails it, in my opinion.

    ---------------------------------------------

    THE X-FACTOR

    Barry.

    The hottest man in football (not literally, obviously) adds an extra dimension to our forward line whenever he takes the field. A buzz drifts around the ground and all eyes are on the big fella.

    On the back of quick direct ball movement, he can break a game open within a quarter as we saw against the Saints in the NAB Cup final.

    More importantly, we’ve already seen him play the role as bail out option. He won the game against Port Adelaide, but he also took some strong contested marks against St Kilda when we had no other options available. This will be important against the Pies, as there will be times when they push us wide and we’re forced to go long.

    Special mention goes to Brad Johnson and his 350th milestone - in front of a packed house in the first game of our most hyped season since 1954. Let’s hope we can harness that energy and swamp the Magpies from the first bounce.

    ---------------------------------------------

    THE VERDICT

    The Bulldogs are the most hyped ticket in town, for better or worse. We showed in the NAB Cup that our defensive pressure has stepped up a level, and with a new bald bloke causing havoc, we’re certainly a genuine premiership contender.

    The Pies were the second best performed team of the pre-season. With a clean bill of health, and an even spread of talent on every line, they will go in confident.

    Our ability to win the contested ball and overwhelm the Collingwood defence will be crucial in putting a winning score on the board. With Boyd and Cross going head to head with the likes of Swan and Ball, it should be a cracker in the middle.

    Ultimately, I think we may just have too much class, with quality finishers such as Akermanis, Murphy and Gia adding polish to the aforementioned grunt men.

    Bulldogs by 21 points in front of a sell out crowd.
    Last edited by comrade; 24-03-2010, 10:54 PM.
    Our 1954 premiership players are our heroes, and it has to be said that Charlie was their hero.
  • LostDoggy
    WOOF Member
    • Jan 2007
    • 8307

    #2
    Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

    Bulldogs by 43 Points. Been saying that margin all week and I'm sticking by it. Even predicted the scoreline at work;

    Bulldogs 132
    Magpies 89

    Comment

    • The Coon Dog
      Bulldog Team of the Century
      • Jan 2007
      • 7578

      #3
      Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

      I reckon you've got the gig for the remainder of the season, t'was a top read comrade.

      As usual, stopping Swan's ability to win contested ball will be crucial, though he doesn't always hurt you with his possessions, but he can run & run; might be a job for Crossy.

      Leon Davis worries me too, you never know when he's likely to turn it on, but he needs to be shackled all the time. Can be dangerous in small bursts where he kicks 2 or 3 quick goals, particularly hitting the pack at pace & snapping over his left shoulder.

      If Collingwood's defenders zone off & look to crowd Hall, I'd expect us to be smart going forward & use those players direct opponents as we've seen in the last 2 Prelim's with Milburn (Higgins) & Goddard (Hahn).

      Dogs to run all over the Pies after half time to win by 37 points.
      [COLOR="Red"][B][U][COLOR="Blue"]85, 92, 97, 98, 08, 09, 10... Break the curse![/COLOR][/U][/B][/COLOR]

      Comment

      • The Adelaide Connection
        Coaching Staff
        • Jan 2009
        • 2739

        #4
        Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

        Super preview Comrade. Very thorough and on the money IMO.

        Dogs by 23
        First Goal Hill (if he plays) or Higgins (if he doesn't). Either way a result of Collingwood all watching the shiny headed one.
        BOG Boyd

        Comment

        • chef
          Hall of Fame
          • Nov 2008
          • 14582

          #5
          Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

          Excellent preview comrade.

          Doggies by 24
          First goal- Higgins
          BOG- Cooney
          The curse is dead.

          Comment

          • Go_Dogs
            Hall of Fame
            • Jan 2007
            • 10111

            #6
            Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

            Great read comrade.

            I must say, I'm pretty worried about this game.
            Have you heard Butters wants to come to the Dogs?

            Comment

            • Mantis
              Hall of Fame
              • Apr 2007
              • 15322

              #7
              Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

              Excellent preview comrade... The quality of the read picks up just where left off in 09.

              It certainly shapes as a huge test first up with both clubs looking to see how several unknown factors shape up when the real stuff begins. Hall? Jolly? Ball?

              No doubt we come into this contest full of confidence after a series of very good hit-outs, but as we all know Collingwood are no mugs and will be brimming with confidence after giving Port a hiding just a couple of weeks back.

              If our defensive pressure is up we win... It's as simple as that. We can't allow their pack of 'sheepdogs' to run free because as we saw in the first half back in rd 15 last year they will cut us to shreads, but when we pick them up and harass the ball carrier we can burn them going our way.

              We have an edge in class through the middle so I'm hoping Cooney, Griffen & Higgins all play to their capabilities and on their pre-season form I can't see why they wouldn't.

              I think it will be close for awhile, but I think we can run over the top of them and draw away for a solid win.

              Comment

              • Mofra
                Hall of Fame
                • Dec 2006
                • 14868

                #8
                Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

                I still believe we're a better team than Collingwood; interesting to watch the improvement in both sides since last season. Ball & Jolley are quality highly (his development has been mismanaged by Collingwood IMO) however as pointed out, Hudson has played Jolley well in the past and I think our midfield group is just starting to peak.

                Hall is a big improvement although Presi was always a spoiler first, rebounder second so the boost Hall gives us compared to last year is muted somewhat against the Pies.
                Unfortunately I think much rests on two players who will come into the game under duress - Hahn & Johnson. Their likely opponents set up alot of play on the rebound and if we curb their influence, we win.
                Western Bulldogs: 2016 Premiers

                Comment

                • The Pie Man
                  Coaching Staff
                  • May 2008
                  • 3498

                  #9
                  Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

                  Originally posted by Griffen#16
                  Great read comrade.

                  I must say, I'm pretty worried about this game.
                  So am I, but think it's the Bulldog fan's heart that's casuing the anxiety - my head says we win reasonably comfortably in the end
                  Float Along - Fill Your Lungs

                  Comment

                  • Max469
                    Draftee
                    • Jan 2007
                    • 568

                    #10
                    Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

                    Dogs by 9 pts in a hard battle.

                    Murph - 1st Goal

                    Aker - BOG
                    [B][FONT="Book Antiqua"][COLOR="DarkOrchid"][I]I bleed Red,White & Blue[/I][/COLOR] [/FONT][/B]

                    Comment

                    • LostDoggy
                      WOOF Member
                      • Jan 2007
                      • 8307

                      #11
                      Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

                      Wonderful review comrade --

                      but I have to set the record straight and point out that the wonderful words attributed to me above were actually written by Rocket Science, who did last year's round 22 preview.. it did sound verbose enough to be my post but I am sure I would have remembered penning such genius, so I trawled back and sure enough, I hadn't.

                      Always nice to be 'quoted' though, even erroneously!

                      ---

                      ps. Shaw looks like he may be rotating a lot more through the middle this year; word is that he will play on the 'wing' but I didn't want to say that out loud and incur the wrath of "WING DOESN'T EXIST ANYMORE!" mjp.

                      Comment

                      • Dazza
                        Draftee
                        • Mar 2009
                        • 552

                        #12
                        Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

                        Great review. Cooney said on the bounce the key focus for the mids on sunday will be contested possessions and stopping Collingwoods uncontested marks.

                        Comment

                        • Studentlib

                          #13
                          Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

                          Great review and I hope we get the same result as last time. Would someone like to post the opposition coaches' strategies and pinpoint our strengths/weaknesses from its perspective.
                          When I go to matches I can follow our tactics some of the time (with the help of these previews) and give myself a headache in the process!

                          But being aware of the opposition tactics in advance would heighten my appreciation of all aspects of the game. So where do Malthouse and Co. start from in outcoaching the dogs coaching panel?

                          Comment

                          • Greystache
                            Bulldog Team of the Century
                            • Dec 2009
                            • 9775

                            #14
                            Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

                            Thanks for the preview Comrade.

                            I'm feeling pretty confident about this one. I think Collingwood are front runners, and as you mentioned if our defensive pressure is up right from the start then we win and win comfortably. What we don’t want is to come out of the blocks slowly and allow them to get a run on early, we saw in the first game last year that once the crowd gets behind them they’re hard to slow down.

                            Also I’m not overly optimistic Hahn will play, I know it’s being talked up that he’ll be right, but he said only last week he thought he’d be unavailable for 4 weeks which would mean missing the first three rounds. Although that was only a few days after the incident so maybe he’s feeling a bit more confident about the injury now.
                            [COLOR="#FF0000"][B]Western Bulldogs:[/B][/COLOR] [COLOR="#0000CD"][B]We exist to win premierships[/B][/COLOR]

                            Comment

                            • Mantis
                              Hall of Fame
                              • Apr 2007
                              • 15322

                              #15
                              Re: Round 1 Match Preview: Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

                              Originally posted by Studentlib
                              Great review and I hope we get the same result as last time. Would someone like to post the opposition coaches' strategies and pinpoint our strengths/weaknesses from its perspective.
                              When I go to matches I can follow our tactics some of the time (with the help of these previews) and give myself a headache in the process!

                              But being aware of the opposition tactics in advance would heighten my appreciation of all aspects of the game. So where do Malthouse and Co. start from in outcoaching the dogs coaching panel?
                              What are these weaknesses you talk about... We have none!!

                              Seriously though, Collingwood will try and win the clearances and spread the ball wide to their receiving types ie. Thomas, Didak, Lockyer, Davis, etc.. When we have the ball they will push up to try and deny us space to run and try and make us kick long to the contests where they will try and out-number us, and then try and burn us on the counter using their 'outriders'. Our job is deny them the ball (which we did effectively in rd 22) and stick to our defensive structure.

                              I guess we have always had the wood (so to speak) over Collingwood in the clearances so the addition of Ball & Jolly will been seen by them as important factors in curtailing our dominance. I guess from our perspective we could never really go long and direct with a heap of confidence, but Hall as shown thru the pre-season is able to take the odd catch in this situation.

                              It all makes for an interesting contest.

                              Comment

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