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Okay I'm filthy at the moment - like everyone else - but sometimes it does well to look at the bigger picture.
One way to look at our season so far, as many are, is that we have beaten the easy sides and lost to the good ones. Against each of Collingwood, Brisbane and St Kilda, however, we have been in a winning position only to blow it in the latter stages of the game. I don't mean to gloss over the shocking finishes, or make excuses for them, but we ARE better than our ladder position currently suggests, we ARE playing well enough to win the premiership for 3 quarters. Just trying to look on the bright side.
So here we are, after 6 rounds, with just 3 wins. We need to win at least 15 games to be in top 4 contention, once in the top four anything can happen. That's a ratio of 15:7, roughly 2.14. Meaning that if we win 4 of our next 5, we are nearly on track, and if we win all 5, we are more than on track.
Rnd 7 vs Melbourne: This is a must win, although they are in good form, they are a side still learning and we should be able to beat them easily.
Rnd 8 vs Sydney: This will be very tough, and could prove a season defining game.
Rnd 9 vs North Melbourne: A should win and a must win.
Rnd 10 vs Essendon: Ditto.
Rnd 11 vs Collingwood: If we could beat them, it might just turn out a fitting revival.
Maybe I'm just an optimistic person, but I don't mind our chances of squaring up that top four ratio. The next two matches are crucial though.
I remember in 2007, Geelong lost a few early games they could have won, and weren't really looking dangerous, but then snapped into gear and won a whole lot in a row - set up a dynasty even. It's not out of the question.
One way to look at our season so far, as many are, is that we have beaten the easy sides and lost to the good ones. Against each of Collingwood, Brisbane and St Kilda, however, we have been in a winning position only to blow it in the latter stages of the game. I don't mean to gloss over the shocking finishes, or make excuses for them, but we ARE better than our ladder position currently suggests, we ARE playing well enough to win the premiership for 3 quarters. Just trying to look on the bright side.
So here we are, after 6 rounds, with just 3 wins. We need to win at least 15 games to be in top 4 contention, once in the top four anything can happen. That's a ratio of 15:7, roughly 2.14. Meaning that if we win 4 of our next 5, we are nearly on track, and if we win all 5, we are more than on track.
Rnd 7 vs Melbourne: This is a must win, although they are in good form, they are a side still learning and we should be able to beat them easily.
Rnd 8 vs Sydney: This will be very tough, and could prove a season defining game.
Rnd 9 vs North Melbourne: A should win and a must win.
Rnd 10 vs Essendon: Ditto.
Rnd 11 vs Collingwood: If we could beat them, it might just turn out a fitting revival.
Maybe I'm just an optimistic person, but I don't mind our chances of squaring up that top four ratio. The next two matches are crucial though.
I remember in 2007, Geelong lost a few early games they could have won, and weren't really looking dangerous, but then snapped into gear and won a whole lot in a row - set up a dynasty even. It's not out of the question.
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