Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

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  • LostDoggy
    WOOF Member
    • Jan 2007
    • 8307

    Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

    When and Where

    Saturday July 17
    7:10pm
    TIO Stadium Darwin

    Ladder Positions
    Western Bulldogs 5th - 9 wins 6 losses 131.69%
    Port Adelaide 14th - 5 wins 10 losses 79.00%

    Last time they met:

    Round 12- June 13 2009 – TIO Stadium

    Western Bulldogs 4.2 8.5 13.9 21.11 (137)

    Port Adelaide 1.1 4.1 5.2 7.2 (44)

    GOALS
    Western Bulldogs: Minson 3, Johnson 3, Hill 3, Gia 2, Hahn 2, Ward, Gilbee, Boyd, Griffen, Aker, Higgins, Hudson, Picken – all 1

    Port Adelaide: Ebert 2, Cassisi, Tredrea, Rodan, Westhoff, Motlop – all 1.
    BEST
    Western Bulldogs: Hargrave, Cross, Ward, Harbrow

    Port Adelaide: K Cornes, Cassisi, Thurstans.


    Last 5 games head to head

    Round 12 2009- WB 137 def Port 44 - TIO
    Round 14 2008- WB 135 def Port 81 - TIO
    Round 14 2007- WB 133 def Port 113 - Etihad
    Round 19 2006- Port 105 def WB 91 - TIO
    Round 7 2006 - WB 166 def Port 90 - AAMI

    Form leading in:
    Port Adelaide

    LLLLL

    Port Adelaide chose to start their season early gaining a month’s start on most other clubs. Accordingly, they hit the ground running in Round One and won five of their first seven games. At that point, they were only percentage away from 3rd position.

    In Round 7, Warren Tredrea smashed his ankle and in his absence, they have not won a game since. They have now registered eight losses in a row and do not look like reversing that trend, until........................?

    Port Adelaide, not being used to such failure, found a way to dismiss Choco Williams as Coach after last week’s game amid much cheer and joviality from Port supporters and much sorrow from opposition supporters. His replacement, Matthew Primus having been mentored by such luminaries as Jade Rawlings, Darren Crocker and Ben Allan, has declared he wants the job full-time.
    Should Primus reverse the trend, he must find a way for Port to score. Over their last six matches, they have scored, 30, 63, 55, 93, 58 and 79 points. The absence of Tredrea has left them impotent in front of goal with only Ebert and the Richmond reject (doesn’t say a lot) Schulz, being able to find the big sticks.

    For this week’s match, Port will be without P Burgoyne, Tredrea, Lade, Pettigrew, Thurstans, and M Motlop since the last time we met - a 93 point victory to the Dogs. I doubt whether their replacements will measure up to this lot, although the latter two were no champions and are probably playing for Henley Greek, Gaza or Myponga by now. Sorry, you need to be local.

    Western Bulldogs

    WLWWL

    After an up and down start to the season, the Dog’s form over the past month has been pretty solid. Big wins over Brisbane and West Coast (both expected) have been followed by a solid effort against a rampant Hawthorn (who got within 2 points of Geelong without Mitchell last week) and a thumping of top 4 pretenders Carlton.

    Regaining players of the calibre of Johnson, Ward, Hargrave, Picken, Williams and Higgins has added much to the side. The outstanding form of Lake and the inclusion of Wood and Murphy have brought solidarity and flexibility to the back six which has various mix and match options now available to it. Those of us of the persuasion that Backlines win Premierships are feeling pretty good at this point.

    With Cooney, Griffen, and Boyd in form we have our best three mid-fielders able to match it with the competition’s best. The team has numerous options to run through the middle to complement the starting three.

    Last week we saw a significant lift in the quality of our disposal particularly when entering the forward 50. It is critical for the team that this improvement continues

    Potential Ins & Outs

    Port Adelaide - the big news in Adelaide predicts Chad Cornes and Carr will be demoted to the SANFL (not a lot happens in Adelaide). If this proves to be true, it is not in our best interests as neither have had a kick for the year.

    Western Bulldogs - Hall is out and Johnson must be considered doubtful although the latest reports are that he has recovered. Stack is gone. There is some talk of resting Hudson. Our previous experience tells us that the ball is on the ground a lot in Darwin due to the humidity and possible rain. It will not be a night for big grabs overhead (with the obvious exception of Lake who could catch a bar of soap in a waterfall).

    Some Woofers are spruiking Jones but the conditions won’t suit him as they did not in the pre-season game.

    Minson may replace Hudson if rested otherwise Roughead is heading back to Willi. Whilst the conditions won’t suit big fellows, the humidity will be draining, especially for them. I think it would be prudent to persist with two Ruckmen especially against Brogan who can play a bit.

    Sure ball handling, speed and precision passing will be important. Eagleton is a chance and would be useful up there. How do I know? Mantis told me. In the absence of Hall, Hill may get a reprieve despite not breaking any records at Willi.

    Key Match ups

    Hudson/Minson v Brogan – Brogan is a good competitor and Hudson and/or Minson will need to be on their game to compete. They have some useful mid-fielders and it is important we get first use of the ball as we did last week.

    Whilst Brogan is good around the ground I don’t expect any ruckman to make a big impression (other than in pure ruck-work) because of the conditions.

    K Cornes v Cooney/Boyd

    Cornes, who it must be said is the pre-eminent tagger in the business, cut-up Boyd during the first half last year. Boyd got back into it in the second half but Cornes held sway over the night. A good effort given the spanking Port received. It will be interesting to see whether Cornes is set on Boyd or Cooney but whoever it is they are in for a hard time. Fortunately, Cornes cannot kick over the man on the mark so he won’t hurt us going the other way.

    Picken v Rodan

    Rodan is a dangerous player around goals. Last year he even kicked one for us. I believe Picken will get Rodan and I have complete faith in him doing the job. Given a free rein he can be devastating through the middle and Picken will need to get hold of him early as he grows with confidence when he is on top.

    Morris v Motlop

    Coming into the game last year, Motlop was the big threat. Morris cut him to pieces to the point he waved the white flag late in the game and literally gave up. This is not new to him and Morris will put him in the flag-waving frame of mind again.

    Midfield vs Midfield

    As with all games the mid-field battle will be key. Cooney, Griffen, Boyd, Cross, Ward and Picken etc v Cassisi, K Cornes, Rodan, Salopek, Logan and Boak. On paper, ours is streets ahead but the job remains to be done. Where I think we can really damage them is through the middle (they allow this because they don’t employ a rolling zone too often) providing our disposal is as measured as last week. It is further critical given the change to our structure up forward without Hall.

    Where the game will be won and lost

    Other than the performance of our midfield, the critical issue remains how we perform without Hall. They have a couple of gorillas in Chaplin and Carlisle down back and we must structure up in recognition of this. Again the conditions will favour the smaller blokes so through a combination of Gia, Higgins, Grant, Johnson, Murphy (who I think will be play forward in Hall’s absence) we may be too nimble and classy for them.

    Quick movement of the ball going into the forward line will enable our forwards to run into space. Get clogged, should they elect to use a zone and the gorillas will have a field day.

    I have no doubt about our backline being able to hold their forwards. Unless their midfielders get involved they will continue to struggle to kick a winning score.

    There is one factor which may come into play here and it is, to some extent, out or our control. The hype of a new coach and the success which historically comes to teams who change their coach mid-year is simply unexplainable. But it is a fact. And it is a threat. Hopefully, they played out their emotions last week for Choco’s last hurrah.

    Verdict
    Eight losses in a row says it all really. And for those of us who live in this city it is a beautiful thing indeed. Not as beautiful as it would be if it happened to the other mob, but still beautiful, nevertheless.

    In the absence of them signing up a Coleman, Lockett and Ablett Snr overnight, I can’t see them kicking a winning score.


    Bulldogs by 80 points
    Motlop to be reported
    __________________
    Last edited by LostDoggy; 14-07-2010, 02:17 PM.
  • Go_Dogs
    Hall of Fame
    • Jan 2007
    • 10165

    #2
    Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

    Great work on the preview EJ.

    From memory, Griff went to Rodan last year and played pretty well on him. Given Rodan does his best work in the clearance/congestion where his strong core allows him to evade tacklers, I think a more inside option would be preferred, such as Griff or perhaps Crossy (but he'd lack the burst speed)

    Picken to Pearce for mine.
    Have you heard Butters wants to come to the Dogs?

    Comment

    • mjp
      Bulldog Team of the Century
      • Jan 2007
      • 7375

      #3
      Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

      Originally posted by Griffen#16
      Picken to Pearce for mine.
      And for me as well.

      Nice preview EJ.
      What should I tell her? She's going to ask.

      Comment

      • Missing Dog
        WOOF Member
        • Jan 2007
        • 8501

        #4
        Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

        Originally posted by EJ Smith
        When and Where

        Saturday July 17
        7:10pm
        TIO Stadium Darwin


        Great preview.

        Just one point - the game starts at 7.40pm Melbourne time, and fortunately is live on Channel 10.

        Comment

        • LostDoggy
          WOOF Member
          • Jan 2007
          • 8307

          #5
          Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

          Originally posted by aker39
          Great preview.

          Just one point - the game starts at 7.40pm Melbourne time, and fortunately is live on Channel 10.
          Yes but most Woofers live in Adelaide

          Comment

          • Mofra
            Hall of Fame
            • Dec 2006
            • 14972

            #6
            Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

            I know this has been pegged as a danger game but as EJ has rightly pointed out, Port really are having some trouble in putting scores on the board. Our defence has been brilliant this year - Carlton almost matched us for inside 50s (although our quality of entry was better), our defence destroyed them.
            Western Bulldogs: 2016 Premiers

            Comment

            • Mantis
              Hall of Fame
              • Apr 2007
              • 15463

              #7
              Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

              A ripper preview EJ, well done.

              Haven't taken much interest in Port this year, but as you have stated they have real trouble hitting the scoreboard and as you and Mofra have added our defence should be able to keep them in check.

              I too hope to see Picken go to Pearce as he gave him hell last year and expect more of the same, but I would think he would be the only player we 'sit on', but still would like us to keep Rodan & Boak in check.

              Expect nothing but a professional approach to this game and expect another good win.

              Comment

              • LostDoggy
                WOOF Member
                • Jan 2007
                • 8307

                #8
                Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

                Originally posted by EJ Smith
                Yes but most Woofers live in Adelaide
                Should we conduct a census?

                Comment

                • LostDoggy
                  WOOF Member
                  • Jan 2007
                  • 8307

                  #9
                  Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

                  Aker confirmed as out and Liam Jones in the mix.

                  Article on AFL.com.au
                  Last edited by LostDoggy; 14-07-2010, 01:08 PM. Reason: Tried to fix link

                  Comment

                  • Go_Dogs
                    Hall of Fame
                    • Jan 2007
                    • 10165

                    #10
                    Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

                    Originally posted by EJ Smith
                    Yes but most Woofers live in Adelaide
                    The more intelligent and good-looking ones, at least


                    And we also get live, FTA coverage this weekend - finally!
                    Have you heard Butters wants to come to the Dogs?

                    Comment

                    • BulldogBelle
                      WOOF Member
                      • Nov 2006
                      • 5284

                      #11
                      Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

                      Great read.

                      Still trying to work out if it is 'a bowl of soup' or 'a bar of soap'

                      Originally posted by EJ Smith
                      When and Where

                      (with the obvious exception of Lake who could catch a bar of soup in a waterfall).

                      With the slippery conditions why not rest Hudson and play Minson and Everitt in the ruck.

                      Comment

                      • Mantis
                        Hall of Fame
                        • Apr 2007
                        • 15463

                        #12
                        Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

                        Originally posted by The Dogs Bollocks

                        SO Hudson and Everitt then - 2nd time lucky.
                        Roughead?

                        Comment

                        • LostDoggy
                          WOOF Member
                          • Jan 2007
                          • 8307

                          #13
                          Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

                          great preview mate... had to laugh...

                          "It will not be a night for big grabs overhead (with the obvious exception of Lake who could catch a bar of soup in a waterfall)."

                          "Fortunately, Cornes cannot kick over the man on the mark so he won’t hurt us going the other way."

                          And so on...

                          "Eight losses in a row says it all really. And for those of us who live in this city it is a beautiful thing indeed. Not as beautiful as it would be if it happened to the other mob, but still beautiful, nevertheless."

                          Couldn't agree more.

                          With all the adelaide woofers its going to be crowded in the Little Pub on Saturday night.

                          Comment

                          • Ozza
                            Bulldog Team of the Century
                            • Mar 2008
                            • 6402

                            #14
                            Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

                            Good preview EJ.

                            I'm pretty comfortable with the idea of us going in quite small. Last year Port had Westhoff's everywhere, Tredrea Lade, Brogan, Thurstons and Pettigrew all out there and looked very very unsuited to the conditions.

                            Agree with other Woofers on Picken. Pearce is easy pickings for Liam! Rodan is of course very dangerous - but I'm sure Boyd and Crossy will be watchful of him at the stoppages.

                            I always feel like we can account for Port easily - no matter where it is or what the team is - we just belt them.

                            Comment

                            • LostDoggy
                              WOOF Member
                              • Jan 2007
                              • 8307

                              #15
                              Re: Match Preview - Round 16 Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide

                              I must admit to some dismay that we are delaying till tomorrow to fly up there.

                              I would have thought we would have gone earlier in the week to aclimatise.

                              Nine degrees to 35 is a big change.
                              Last edited by LostDoggy; 14-07-2010, 03:19 PM.

                              Comment

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