Your Final 8 Prediction

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  • bulldogtragic
    The List Manager
    • Jan 2007
    • 34289

    Your Final 8 Prediction

    I thought I'd start a predictor thread. The 8 is virtually set, and there's some big games between the top 8 teams. Here's my guess at the final ladder predictor.

    End of Round 15:

    1 Hawthorn 14 11 0 3 119.60 44
    2 Geelong 14 10 0 4 139.20 40
    3 GWS 14 10 0 4 138.60 40
    4 Sydney 14 10 0 4 137.00 40
    5 Adelaide 14 10 0 4 128.00 40
    6 Bulldogs 14 10 0 4 118.60 40
    7 Nth Melb 14 10 0 4 116.60 40
    8 WCE 14 9 0 5 134.80 36


    R16:

    Hawks def Power (Hawks 48 pts)
    Geelong def Sydney (Geelong 44 pts & Sydney 40 pts)
    GWS def Collingwood (GWS 44 pts)
    Dogs def Richmond (Dogs 44 pts)
    WCE def North (Both 40 pts)
    Adelaide def Carlton (Adelaide 44 pts)

    R17:

    Sydney def Hawthorn (Hawks 48 pts, Sydney 44 pts)
    North def Port (North 44 pts)
    Adelaide def Collingwood (Adeliade 48 pts)
    GWS def Lions (GWS 48 pts)
    Dogs def Suns (48 pts)
    WCE def Carlton (WCE 44 pts)
    Geelong def Freo (Geelong 48 points)

    R18:

    WCE def Melb (WCE 48 pts)
    Dogs def St Kilda (Dogs 52 pts)
    Geelong def Adelaide (Geelong 52 pts, Adeliade 48 pts)
    Hawks def Richmond (Hawks 52 pts)
    GWS def Power (GWS 52 pts)
    North def Collingwood (North 48 pts)
    Sydney def Carlton (Sydney 48 pts)

    R19:

    WCE def Collingwood (WCE 52 pts)
    North def St Kilda (North 52 pts)
    Hawks def Carlton (Hawks 56 pts)
    Adelaide def Essendon (Adelaide 52 pts)
    Sydney def Freo (Sydney 52 pts)
    GWS def Richmond (GWS 56 pts)
    Geelong def Dogs (Geelong 56 pts, Dogs 52 pts)

    R20:

    Hawks def Melb (Hawks 60 pts)
    Sydney def Port (Sydney 56 pts)
    GWS def Suns (GWS 60 pts)
    Dogs def North (Dogs 56 pts, North 52 pts)
    Adelaide def Brisbane (Adelaide 56 pts)
    Geelong def Essendon (Geelong 60 pts)
    WCE def Freo (WCE 56 pts)

    R21:

    Dogs def Collingwood (Dogs 60 pts)
    Hawks def North (Hawks 64 pts, North 52 pts)
    Adelaide def Freo (Adelaide 60 pts)
    Geelong def Richmond (Geelong 64 pts)
    Sydney def St Kilda (Sydney 60 pts)
    GWS def WCE (GWS 64 pts, WCE 56 pts)

    R22:

    WCE def Hawks (WCE 60 pts, Hawks 64 pts)
    North def Sydney (North 56 pts, Sydney 60 pts)
    GWS def Freo (GWS 68 points)
    Power def Adelaide (Adelaide 60 pts)
    Geelong def Brisbane (Geelong 68 pts)
    Dogs def Essendon (Dogs 64 pts)

    R23:

    Geelong def Melbourne (Geelong 72 pts)
    Freo def Dogs (Dogs 64 pts) (Pavlich factor)
    Adelaide def WCE (Adelaide 64 points, WCE 60 pts)
    North def GWS (North 60 pts, GWS 68 pts)
    Sydney def Richmond (Sydney 64 points)
    Hawks def Collingwood (Hawks 68 points)

    For:

    1. Geelong 72
    2. GWS 68
    3. Hawks 68
    4. Sydney 64
    5. Adelaide 64
    6. Dogs 64
    7. WCE 60
    8. North 60

    So virtually no change from today's ladder. For Dogs vs West Coast Eagles at the MCG (not our home ground Etihad). We'd have to be odds on in such an eventuality.

    Any talking points in all of this?
    Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023
  • ledge
    Hall of Fame
    • Dec 2007
    • 14301

    #2
    Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

    Very hard to predict with percentages coming into account. You need to predict win amounts to know who will be where if so many on same points. We have a few we should build percentage on.
    Bring back the biff

    Comment

    • comrade
      Hall of Fame
      • Jun 2008
      • 18026

      #3
      Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

      I'd happily take on the Eagles in Melbourne first week of the finals. In fact, I'd be reasonably confident against any team in Melbourne.

      Would hate to travel to the GWS **** hole but it would be so sweet to beat them on their own dung hill.
      Our 1954 premiership players are our heroes, and it has to be said that Charlie was their hero.

      Comment

      • BornInDroopSt'54
        Bulldog Team of the Century
        • Jan 2009
        • 5254

        #4
        Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

        Hawks
        Cats
        GWS
        Swans
        Bulldogs
        Crows
        Kangas
        Eagles
        We beat the Eagles at Etihad, Hawks at MCG, Cats in the PF and Swans in the GF.
        Footscray Football Republic.

        Comment

        • Remi Moses
          WOOF Member
          • Jan 2009
          • 14785

          #5
          Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

          Wouldn't be surprised if the Pav pulls the pin in the Derby .

          Comment

          • anfo27
            WOOF Member
            • Aug 2009
            • 2002

            #6
            Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

            Port not easy to beat at home. I think the power will get the hawks at home and GWS might get a surprise there to.

            Comment

            • azabob
              Hall of Fame
              • Sep 2008
              • 15300

              #7
              Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

              Originally posted by anfo27
              Port not easy to beat at home. I think the power will get the hawks at home and GWS might get a surprise there to.
              They are not easy to beat at home, but they are still yet to beat a top 8 team this season - home or away.
              More of an In Bruges guy?

              Comment

              • boydogs
                WOOF Member
                • Apr 2009
                • 5844

                #8
                Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

                We've always had the last 3 rounds up our sleeve for percentage, against Collingwood, Essendon and Freo. We're 20% behind GWS, Sydney, West Coast and Geelong so that might be too big a gap but we should finish ahead of Hawthorn & North and catch Adelaide
                If you kicked five goals and Tom Boyd kicked five goals, Tom Boyd kicked more goals than you.

                Formerly gogriff

                Comment

                • LostDoggy
                  WOOF Member
                  • Jan 2007
                  • 8307

                  #9
                  Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

                  I would be massively disappointed if we drop R23 to Freo and blow a top 4 position. By then they'll be utterly cooked. If we need to win that to make the top 4, I'd back us in. The problematic games for mine are Geelong and North, if we win 1 of those 2, then we are a huge chance for top 4.

                  Comment

                  • Twodogs
                    Moderator
                    • Nov 2006
                    • 27654

                    #10
                    Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

                    Im worried about the Suns. i don't know why.
                    They say Burt Lancaster has one, but I don't believe them.

                    Comment

                    • bulldogtragic
                      The List Manager
                      • Jan 2007
                      • 34289

                      #11
                      Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

                      Originally posted by Twodogs
                      Im worried about the Suns. i don't know why.
                      Melanoma?

                      We should have them covered.
                      Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023

                      Comment

                      • BornInDroopSt'54
                        Bulldog Team of the Century
                        • Jan 2009
                        • 5254

                        #12
                        Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

                        I have us only losing one game hereafter but still we only make fifth.
                        Footscray Football Republic.

                        Comment

                        • Twodogs
                          Moderator
                          • Nov 2006
                          • 27654

                          #13
                          Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

                          Could be melanoma. I hope that's all it is.
                          They say Burt Lancaster has one, but I don't believe them.

                          Comment

                          • BornInDroopSt'54
                            Bulldog Team of the Century
                            • Jan 2009
                            • 5254

                            #14
                            Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

                            Don't make light of the dark patch.
                            Footscray Football Republic.

                            Comment

                            • bulldogsthru&thru
                              Bulldog Team of the Century
                              • May 2011
                              • 7697

                              #15
                              Re: Your Final 8 Prediction

                              First and foremost we need to take care of business against the non top 8 sides. The next 3 weeks in particular are against the better top 8 teams so they are very important.

                              Comment

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