Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
Christian Wood also randomly turned into the best player in the league after catching it. Maybe there’s an upside? Can anyone check if Peter Dutton can shoot the 3 now?- I'm a visionary - Only here to confirm my biases -Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
I'm now of the belief that we shouldn't contemplate playing games in empty stadiums in the first few weeks of the scheduled season.
There are a few reasons for this:
1) The game is for the fans and without fans attending I don't think they should go ahead. It may get to that point but we should wait
2) Why is deemed safe enough for the players? They are in contact with family and friends and in some cases have children of their own. On top of that it's a very physical sport where contact to the head is likely. Are we sure we can contain this for the players in the games?
3) I think too many people are looking at this as a way of protecting the business of the AFL and while I get that it still doesn't mean it should be the primary focus over the safety of the players and the community.
We should hold back for another month before contemplating playing games with no fans in attendance because there are number of viable options that could be explored before we get to that scenario
I'll chip in what I can to help the club through this time
I am not a medico, however, my understanding is that what the Government is trying to do is flatten the curve of new cases so that the hospitals are not swamped. If they are then the death rate will climb. If the curve is flattened and the hospitals are able to cope, there will likely be less deaths but it will be unlikely to have any impact on the total number of people who will eventually contract the virus. You will note in the diagrams of a flattened curve that the width of the curve is greater. It is the area under the curve that correlates to the total number of people infected. In this scenario, stopping large groups of people from congregating together makes sense, stopping players from playing competitive sport does nothing.
With regard the above points.
1. Fans watch a lot of sport on TV. I watch tennis, golf etc and have never been to a major event in these sports. I also watch all away games on TV. It is not an unusual situation.
2. The cancelling of major events is not about the safety of the people who would be attending these events. It is about slowing the rate of infection. Unless you lock yourself in a plastic bubble or become a self sufficient hermit, you are most likely going to be exposed. AFEL players are one of the least at risk groups. Fit and in the prime of their life.
3. The AFEL may be considering the financial cost, but it shouldn't be, and it may not be. Playing the games with the crowd locked out is absolutely in line with the current medical advice. Unless the government implements a 1 metre social exclusion policy, it will continue to be. A move to such a policy now would most likely be counter productive with regard to the achievement of the flattened curve.
Holding back for a month will mean cancellation. This is not going to be over in a month. The predictions are 8 to 12 weeks until the peak. If you are going to catch this and most of us probably will, then you don't want to have it at the peak time when the hospitals are not coping and there are no ventilators available if you need one.
The reason I think the AFEL will be postponed or cancelled will be public pressure because I believe most people think the government imposed restrictions are about the risk from the virus itself, rather than about the risk of the medical system falling over.
As stated above, I'm not a medico so my understanding of the risk may be misguided. I am in a decision making position in education though, so I am reasonably well informed.Last edited by Before I Die; 16-03-2020, 06:46 AM.The Angels have the phone box. [SIZE="2"]Don't blink![/SIZE]Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
Though I think a cancellation, or at least a postponement is likely, I don't believe it is the logical thing to do. I am not dismissing the seriousness of the COVID-19 situation, it is simply that cancelling the games doesn't align with what needs to be done at this stage.
I am not a medico, however, my understanding is that what the Government is trying to do is flatten the curve of new cases so that the hospitals are not swamped. If they are then the death rate will climb. If the curve is flattened and the hospitals are able to cope, there will likely be less deaths but it will be unlikely to have any impact on the total number of people who will eventually contract the virus. You will note in the diagrams of a flattened curve that the width of the curve is greater. It is the volume under the curve that correlates to the total number of people infected. In this scenario, stopping large groups of people from congregating together makes sense, stopping players from playing competitive sport does nothing.
With regard the above points.
1. Fans watch a lot of sport on TV. I watch tennis, golf etc and have never been to a major event in these sports. I also watch all away games on TV. It is not an unusual situation.
2. The cancelling of major events is not about the safety of the people who would be attending these events. It is about slowing the rate of contraction. Unless you lock yourself in a plastic bubble or become a self sufficient hermit, you are most likely going to be exposed. AFEL players are one of the least at risk groups. Fit and in the prime of their life.
3. The AFEL may be considering the financial cost, but it shouldn't be, and it may not be. Playing the games with the crowd locked out is absolutely in line with the current medical advice. Unless the government implements a 1 metre social exclusion policy, it will continue to be. A move to such a policy now would most likely be counter productive with regard to the achievement of the flattened curve.
Holding back for a month will mean cancellation. This is not going to be over in a month. The predictions are 8 to 12 weeks until the peak. If you are going to catch this and most of us probably will, then you don't want to have it at the peak time when the hospitals are not coping and there are no ventilators available if you need one.
The reason I think the AFEL will be postponed or cancelled will be public pressure because I believe most people think the government imposed restrictions are about the risk from the virus itself, rather than about the risk of the medical system falling over.
As stated above, I'm not a medico so my understanding of the risk may be misguided. I am in a decision making position in education though, so I am reasonably well informed.Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
2. The cancelling of major events is not about the safety of the people who would be attending these events. It is about slowing the rate of contraction. Unless you lock yourself in a plastic bubble or become a self sufficient hermit, you are most likely going to be exposed. AFEL players are one of the least at risk groups. Fit and in the prime of their life.
You can forget that one. The walkways and the peak of Mt Everest has just been closed due to coronavirus. I don't know if it's been detected there or what the story is.They say Burt Lancaster has one, but I don't believe them.Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
All VFL matches suspended indefinitelyFFC: Established 1883
Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
Probably due to an acute shortage of toilet paper due to panic buyingThe Angels have the phone box. [SIZE="2"]Don't blink![/SIZE]Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
US Centre for Disease Control saying no groups of people over 50 for the next 8 weeks at least.
Will be copy this? If so, then no football games at any level.Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
It's almost inevitable we'll be in full lockdown at some stage. It seems we're being softened up for that blow minute by minute.TF is this?.........Obviously you're not a golfer.Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
Scott Pendlebury has been quarantined with flu like symptoms and tested for Coronavirus. If he's positive I can;t see us playing next week.
They say Burt Lancaster has one, but I don't believe them.Comment
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Re: Coronavirus: could the 2020 AFL season be called off?
Hopefully he doesn’t have it but can’t play. Think that’s the fairest result for everyone.- I'm a visionary - Only here to confirm my biases -Comment
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