The Final Eight

[Bumper Bulldogs]

If the following unfolds, Dogs finish TOP 4!...

Round 23
Giants beat Suns = Achieved
Crows beat Magpies = Achieved
Dogs beat Eagles = PENDING
Round 24
Melbourne beat Collingwood = PENDING
Saints beat Giants = PENDING
Lions beat Hawks = PENDING
Port or Essendon beat Suns = PENDING
Dogs beat Dockers = PENDING

Honestly I can see Melbourne getting over the Pies. Nor the Saints over Giants.

but it would be very nice and the first time under Bevo we are top 4

[Bornadog]

Lots of scenarios to play out next week. Brisbane and Collingwood fighting for a top 4 position, and Hawks alos have a chance for top 4.

Unfortunately we won't get a home final and could end up with either a Suns or GWS away game depending on the results in other games.

We could even end up at the Gabba if Lions and GC lose.

Firstly win today and a big finish next week.

[bulldogsthru&thru]

Lots of scenarios to play out next week. Brisbane and Collingwood fighting for a top 4 position, and Hawks alos have a chance for top 4.

Unfortunately we won't get a home final and could end up with either a Suns or GWS away game depending on the results in other games.

We could even end up at the Gabba if Lions and GC lose.

Firstly win today and a big finish next week.

Home final next week imo

[Plums]

To throw some consideration out there for what would happen if all results go as expected. My tips this week have the Lions, Suns and Giants winning their respective games this week, which if we won our game would see us finish in 7th with a final in Sydney against the Giants, but here is where everything goes south. If the Hawks beat the Lions it's Hawks at the G (I'm already having flashbacks.) If Giants lose to the Saints it's Hawks at the G. If both happen it's Lions at the Gabba. Now what option do you want because I know I like that Sydney game the best.

[josie]

Hear hear plums.

[jeemak]

Hear hear plums.

Sorry, did Plums close his bracket? Seriously Josie, you can't be endorsing that sort of sloppiness.

[bulldogsthru&thru]

To throw some consideration out there for what would happen if all results go as expected. My tips this week have the Lions, Suns and Giants winning their respective games this week, which if we won our game would see us finish in 7th with a final in Sydney against the Giants, but here is where everything goes south. If the Hawks beat the Lions it's Hawks at the G (I'm already having flashbacks.) If Giants lose to the Saints it's Hawks at the G. If both happen it's Lions at the Gabba. Now what option do you want because I know I like that Sydney game the best.

I mentioned in a separate thread that I think who we would play (assuming we take care of business) depends on the suns. If they win both their games we'd play them or gws. If they lose one (likely only to port) then we'd play lions or hawks. So we really want the suns winning out.

Of course that assumes other results go to plan. I actually think the saints could pip the giants after a little boost from the Milera signing. They played spoiler last year too in the final round.

[Pleather Sole]

At Bevo's presser this morning he said that Freo and us are in the same boat, whoever wins is in, we don't we're out.
But, noodling around on the PREDICTOR there is a chance-however small that if we draw with Freo they are still in and we are definitely 9th.
Some unlikely upsets are involved but not impossible, last games of the season can yield crazy odds results.
One draw and one loss from GC they're out. One win they're in, 2 draws they're in. If we draw we're out with GC on 2 draws or one win we're out.
These are far fetched but I feel like I need to prep myself for mathematically viable yet bizarre scenarios.

So a draw v Freo is not good enough.
If the unthinkable happens again and Gold Coast lose both matches, plus St Kilda beat GWS and we draw with Freo we could be 8th and Freo 5th. If we win in that scenario we're 5th and Freo is 8th.
I think I might need a cuppa.

[Plums]

We just have to do what we can, then the results around us are still too unpredictable. Sunday night is the only time I'll feel peace.

[merantau]

I am thinking Pies will win v Dee's. They have too much to lose.

Adelaide to beat North.
Port to beat Suns
Cats to beat Tiges
Saints to beat GWS
Dogs to beat Freo
Loins to beat Hawks
Suns to beat Essendon
So:
Adelaide 72pts
Cats 68pts
Lions 66pts
Pies 64 pts
Dogs 60
Suns 60
Hawks 60
GWS 60

Bit of wishful thinking on show but there haven't been many upsets in the last 3 weeks. I'm hoping the worm has turned.