Mantis has given me a nice easy one.
Western Bulldogs v Geelong
2008 Results
Preliminary Final: Geelong 12.11 83 d. Western Bulldogs 7.12 54
Rd 16: Geelong 19.17 131 d. Western Bulldogs 10.10 70
2009 Form
Geelong 8 wins 0 losses
Western Bulldogs 5 wins 3 losses
Players under the Pump
Western Bulldogs – Mitch Hahn, Ryan Griffen
Geelong – Team statistician has RSI
Players to return
Western Bulldogs – Shaun Higgins, Ryan Hargrave (perhaps),Tim Callan
Geelong – A couple of nobodies like Gary Ablett and Paul Chapman
Summary – God help us.
Defensive Match-ups
Brian Lake v Tom Hawkins. Lake has a good matchup for him this week in Hawkins. Hawkins will be a beauty but he’s not there yet. If Lake is on and can take some defensive marks that will be the first step to an upset win.
Tom Williams v Cameron Mooney. – Mooney is important to them because he always gives a contest but he rarely hurts teams. Williams has everything needed to do a defensive job on him but I’d like to see Williams hurt Geelong by running off Mooney as well.
Ryan Hargrave v Steve Johnson – Hargrave did the job last time out but a) Hargrave might not get up and b) Morris doesn’t seem to have a natural matchup. Morris can pretty much play on anyone though. Johnson is also spending more time up the ground this year.
Midfield Match-ups
Is it really worth bothering? Ablett, Selwood and Bartel don’t seem to care too much as to whether they’re being tagged or not. I always believed it was pointless trying to tag Scott West, he’d get it 30 times whether you did or not and I think some of the Cats midfielders are the same. There’s also too many of them; tag them all and who’s going to get the ball for us?
Picken will get first try at Ablett but for the most part other than that everyone must simply at least match it with his opponent.
What else do we have to worry about?
mjp has brought it up before but Geelong’s backline work together like no other. They zone off to take defensive marks as 3rd man up and they cover for each other when someone bolts off upfield.
Our forwards have to get separation from each other. Make sure you take Harley, especially, far enough away from his teammates that he can’t take those 3rd man up marks. If he tries to zone off too far, use his opponent. That goes for all of them.
Handball is your friend
We have to run at them. We have to play on at every opportunity and we have to handball, handball, handball. The supporters will be screaming for blood, BigFooty will go into meltdown if we lose but that’s just nuffies in the stands who wouldn’t know a drop punt from an Easter egg.
Blokes will make mistakes that will cost us goals, deal with it. The only sure way to guarantee to lose is to not take a risk.
The Verdict
The fact is they’re better than us and will probably win but that doesn’t necessarily mean that they will. I think the possible margin could be anywhere from +10 to -70 points. If we do everything right, play on at every opportunity and our skills are good we’re a show. If we stop and kick over the man on the mark we’ll get smashed.
Geelong by 25.
Western Bulldogs v Geelong
2008 Results
Preliminary Final: Geelong 12.11 83 d. Western Bulldogs 7.12 54
Rd 16: Geelong 19.17 131 d. Western Bulldogs 10.10 70
2009 Form
Geelong 8 wins 0 losses
Western Bulldogs 5 wins 3 losses
Players under the Pump
Western Bulldogs – Mitch Hahn, Ryan Griffen
Geelong – Team statistician has RSI
Players to return
Western Bulldogs – Shaun Higgins, Ryan Hargrave (perhaps),Tim Callan
Geelong – A couple of nobodies like Gary Ablett and Paul Chapman
Summary – God help us.
Defensive Match-ups
Brian Lake v Tom Hawkins. Lake has a good matchup for him this week in Hawkins. Hawkins will be a beauty but he’s not there yet. If Lake is on and can take some defensive marks that will be the first step to an upset win.
Tom Williams v Cameron Mooney. – Mooney is important to them because he always gives a contest but he rarely hurts teams. Williams has everything needed to do a defensive job on him but I’d like to see Williams hurt Geelong by running off Mooney as well.
Ryan Hargrave v Steve Johnson – Hargrave did the job last time out but a) Hargrave might not get up and b) Morris doesn’t seem to have a natural matchup. Morris can pretty much play on anyone though. Johnson is also spending more time up the ground this year.
Midfield Match-ups
Is it really worth bothering? Ablett, Selwood and Bartel don’t seem to care too much as to whether they’re being tagged or not. I always believed it was pointless trying to tag Scott West, he’d get it 30 times whether you did or not and I think some of the Cats midfielders are the same. There’s also too many of them; tag them all and who’s going to get the ball for us?
Picken will get first try at Ablett but for the most part other than that everyone must simply at least match it with his opponent.
What else do we have to worry about?
mjp has brought it up before but Geelong’s backline work together like no other. They zone off to take defensive marks as 3rd man up and they cover for each other when someone bolts off upfield.
Our forwards have to get separation from each other. Make sure you take Harley, especially, far enough away from his teammates that he can’t take those 3rd man up marks. If he tries to zone off too far, use his opponent. That goes for all of them.
Handball is your friend
We have to run at them. We have to play on at every opportunity and we have to handball, handball, handball. The supporters will be screaming for blood, BigFooty will go into meltdown if we lose but that’s just nuffies in the stands who wouldn’t know a drop punt from an Easter egg.
Blokes will make mistakes that will cost us goals, deal with it. The only sure way to guarantee to lose is to not take a risk.
The Verdict
The fact is they’re better than us and will probably win but that doesn’t necessarily mean that they will. I think the possible margin could be anywhere from +10 to -70 points. If we do everything right, play on at every opportunity and our skills are good we’re a show. If we stop and kick over the man on the mark we’ll get smashed.
Geelong by 25.
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