R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

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  • Sockeye Salmon
    Bulldog Team of the Century
    • Jan 2007
    • 6365

    R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

    Mantis has given me a nice easy one.

    Western Bulldogs v Geelong


    2008 Results

    Preliminary Final: Geelong 12.11 83 d. Western Bulldogs 7.12 54
    Rd 16: Geelong 19.17 131 d. Western Bulldogs 10.10 70

    2009 Form

    Geelong 8 wins 0 losses
    Western Bulldogs 5 wins 3 losses

    Players under the Pump

    Western Bulldogs – Mitch Hahn, Ryan Griffen
    Geelong – Team statistician has RSI

    Players to return

    Western Bulldogs – Shaun Higgins, Ryan Hargrave (perhaps),Tim Callan
    Geelong – A couple of nobodies like Gary Ablett and Paul Chapman

    Summary – God help us.



    Defensive Match-ups

    Brian Lake v Tom Hawkins. Lake has a good matchup for him this week in Hawkins. Hawkins will be a beauty but he’s not there yet. If Lake is on and can take some defensive marks that will be the first step to an upset win.

    Tom Williams v Cameron Mooney. – Mooney is important to them because he always gives a contest but he rarely hurts teams. Williams has everything needed to do a defensive job on him but I’d like to see Williams hurt Geelong by running off Mooney as well.

    Ryan Hargrave v Steve Johnson – Hargrave did the job last time out but a) Hargrave might not get up and b) Morris doesn’t seem to have a natural matchup. Morris can pretty much play on anyone though. Johnson is also spending more time up the ground this year.


    Midfield Match-ups

    Is it really worth bothering? Ablett, Selwood and Bartel don’t seem to care too much as to whether they’re being tagged or not. I always believed it was pointless trying to tag Scott West, he’d get it 30 times whether you did or not and I think some of the Cats midfielders are the same. There’s also too many of them; tag them all and who’s going to get the ball for us?

    Picken will get first try at Ablett but for the most part other than that everyone must simply at least match it with his opponent.


    What else do we have to worry about?


    mjp has brought it up before but Geelong’s backline work together like no other. They zone off to take defensive marks as 3rd man up and they cover for each other when someone bolts off upfield.

    Our forwards have to get separation from each other. Make sure you take Harley, especially, far enough away from his teammates that he can’t take those 3rd man up marks. If he tries to zone off too far, use his opponent. That goes for all of them.


    Handball is your friend

    We have to run at them. We have to play on at every opportunity and we have to handball, handball, handball. The supporters will be screaming for blood, BigFooty will go into meltdown if we lose but that’s just nuffies in the stands who wouldn’t know a drop punt from an Easter egg.

    Blokes will make mistakes that will cost us goals, deal with it. The only sure way to guarantee to lose is to not take a risk.


    The Verdict

    The fact is they’re better than us and will probably win but that doesn’t necessarily mean that they will. I think the possible margin could be anywhere from +10 to -70 points. If we do everything right, play on at every opportunity and our skills are good we’re a show. If we stop and kick over the man on the mark we’ll get smashed.

    Geelong by 25.
  • Go_Dogs
    Hall of Fame
    • Jan 2007
    • 10152

    #2
    Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

    Good preview, and tend to agree with most of your thoughts.

    Tiller is another who I think should (hopefully) come into consideration this week.

    Mooney out also helps us a bit with the match ups down back.


    Interesting you have Griff listed as a player under the pump. You obviously have not rated his performances very highly the last few weeks, what should be done to run him back into his best form?
    Have you heard Butters wants to come to the Dogs?

    Comment

    • Sedat
      Hall of Fame
      • Sep 2007
      • 11245

      #3
      Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

      Great preview SS.

      Allow me to indulge in a little revisionist history back to last year's PF - goes without saying that two of our most important players structurally that we have missed badly in patches this year have been Cooney and Murphy. Also Williams is a very important plank in the defensive 50 to free up the rest of the defensive group to find more appropriate match-ups. In last year's PF, Cooney had a cracked knee cap, Murphy's knee was stuffed to the point that he grubbered almost evey kick he had (I was very critical of his game at the time without knowing the extent of his injury), and there was no Williams down back. With these 3 either at barely 50% capacity or off the park, we still managed to push Geelong a very long way in that final.

      On Friday night we have Williams, a fitter Cooney, but no Murphy. Geelong have no Ottens. If our rucks/mids can somehow limit Geelong to no more than about 50 forward 50 entries, and more important if we can spread and deliver smartly into our forward 50 so that we can isolate their defenders one-out, we are some sort of chance to get within a couple of goals or even pinch it. Failure to execute one of all of the above and it will be a comfortable loss on Friday night, simple as that.

      Totally agree with Sockeye - if we are static with our ball movement, and do not run at the Cats and take them on with hands through the middle, it will be as ugly as the Round 16 game at Kardinia Park last year and the Friday night fizzer late in season 2007.
      "Look at me mate. Look at me. I'm flyin'"

      Comment

      • LostDoggy
        WOOF Member
        • Jan 2007
        • 8307

        #4
        Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

        Entertaining as always SS.

        Like you've said, their multiple possession winning backline is a key danger, but we isolated Higgo pretty well in the Prelim last year and just kept going through him sitting on the intersection of the 50 and the boundary as the Geelong backs kept zoning off him and refused to man him up.

        It seems to me that we just have to be disciplined in ruthlessly exploiting whatever chink in the armour the day throws up and not try to be too cute because the Cats are deadly on the turnover. If we can keep the game a low-scoring affair we'll be in with a shout. If we turn it into a lairy fairy shootout there's only one winner and it won't be pretty.

        A real character test. Time for the men to stand up.

        Comment

        • 1eyedog
          Hall of Fame
          • Mar 2008
          • 13235

          #5
          Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

          An accurate and entertaining review SS. I notice you don't have a match up in the back half for Morris. Do you not think that Morris will be better suited to Johnson. Our best back on their best forward?
          But then again, I'm an Internet poster and Bevo is a premiership coach so draw your own conclusions.

          Comment

          • Mofra
            Hall of Fame
            • Dec 2006
            • 14946

            #6
            Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

            Originally posted by Lantern
            Like you've said, their multiple possession winning backline is a key danger, but we isolated Higgo pretty well in the Prelim last year and just kept going through him sitting on the intersection of the 50 and the boundary as the Geelong backs kept zoning off him and refused to man him up.
            I remember us isolating Milburn's opponent (Higgins in the first) as he doesn't play a tight backman's role. We wont have that luxury this time.
            We need Hill. He can run all day and leap like a scared cat. He will have to provide a chop-out marking option across the HF line with Murphy out. Harbrow will have to give Scarlett another big "don't argue". Huddo will need to do his typical 3rd & 4th efforts at the centre bounces so we can match or win clearances. Boyd is probably our best-performed midfielder this year (15 possies in the 4th vs Melbourne, they guy is all ticker) so we need a big one from him. He's gone past Cross this year IMO.

            We match up better than most against the Cats. We have to play dangerous though - if we go into our shells will get smashed. If we play with slick handball and pierce their zone, we should do ok - they move the ball very quickly but their footspeed isn't actually that great.
            Western Bulldogs: 2016 Premiers

            Comment

            • Rocco Jones
              Bulldog Team of the Century
              • Jun 2008
              • 6932

              #7
              Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

              Just a few random points from myself:

              - I thought our tackling against the Cats was great in the prelim. Not only did we work hard to get our tackles but we also were very smart in how we went about it. The Cats use the ball more than any side in history. I think the first rule to beating the Cats is placing pressure on their handball receivers.

              - No Mooney frees up Lake. He towelled up Lonergan in the prelim and hopefully we can see a repeat.

              - It also frees up Dale and boy do we need it against a side featuring small forwards of the quality of Stevie J, Chappy and Stokes. Shaggy gave Stevie J a bath last year in the prelim. Even if Shaggy is fit, SJ now spends more time in the midfield. Huge test for Harbrow.

              - Ablett, Bartel, Selwood: Pointless trying to hard tag them out of the game because all it does is sacrifice one of our own ball winners. The use of Picken will be interesting. I would do with an outside tag of Ablett or Stevie J. If we are going to win we need something like Boyd smashing his direct opponent.

              - The use of Gilbee. If we play him at HBF I think he will generate a forward tag by Rooke. We really need our talented but easily stoppables in Gilbee and Griffen to damage the Cats.

              - Cooney is getting back to his best, we probably need him to hit the fast forward button.

              - Hudson/Minson need to take advantage of Ottens missing. We really must get an overall win in the ruck.

              - Limiting the help that their defenders give eachother. Our forwards really need to work their arses off. As others have already commented on, one way to really hurt the Cats is isolating their weaker defenders.

              - Most of all, we need to be confident. As SS has mentioned, we need to play on, handball and take risks. If we are safe we are probably just as likely to get smashed anyway. We have defeated the eventual premiers in each of previous three seasons and are 3rd despite looking ordinary. Essendon have been a great example of how far a bit of belief can take you.

              Comment

              • boydogs
                WOOF Member
                • Apr 2009
                • 5844

                #8
                Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

                A couple have mentioned confidence - its important that if we take the lead like we did early in the prelim that we don't shut down and wait for the what we believe to be inevitable in Geelong coming back at us.

                In their big loss to Collingwood last year and loss in the Grand Final, their opposition did not let up. We must do the same and revel in every possession and score we can get against them

                Geelong have Mooney out, Ottens out, and Ablett and Chapman have been out and hopefully not at their best. This is a good week to get them, we need to realise this and pounce like an opportunistic predator
                If you kicked five goals and Tom Boyd kicked five goals, Tom Boyd kicked more goals than you.

                Formerly gogriff

                Comment

                • AndrewP6
                  Bulldog Team of the Century
                  • Jan 2009
                  • 8142

                  #9
                  Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

                  To paraphrase Pete Seeger... I think we're knee deep in the big muddy...

                  I reeeeeeally hope I'm dead wrong...
                  [B][COLOR="#0000CD"]Our club was born in blood and boots, not in AFL focus groups.[/COLOR][/B]

                  Comment

                  • The Pie Man
                    Coaching Staff
                    • May 2008
                    • 3497

                    #10
                    Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

                    Originally posted by gogriff
                    A couple have mentioned confidence - its important that if we take the lead like we did early in the prelim that we don't shut down and wait for the what we believe to be inevitable in Geelong coming back at us.

                    In their big loss to Collingwood last year and loss in the Grand Final, their opposition did not let up. We must do the same and revel in every possession and score we can get against them

                    Geelong have Mooney out, Ottens out, and Ablett and Chapman have been out and hopefully not at their best. This is a good week to get them, we need to realise this and pounce like an opportunistic predator
                    Lose badly and hear the critics 'can't even get near them with all their outs' ...tis very annoying.
                    Float Along - Fill Your Lungs

                    Comment

                    • Sockeye Salmon
                      Bulldog Team of the Century
                      • Jan 2007
                      • 6365

                      #11
                      Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

                      Originally posted by 1eyedog
                      An accurate and entertaining review SS. I notice you don't have a match up in the back half for Morris. Do you not think that Morris will be better suited to Johnson. Our best back on their best forward?
                      Partly because Johnson towelled up Morris at KP last year, partly because Shaggy did a job on him in the prelim, partly because Johnson is spending more time up the ground, partly because Morris can play on anyone.

                      Comment

                      • dog town
                        Senior Player
                        • Jan 2007
                        • 1914

                        #12
                        Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

                        I have always thought Morris is a little less effective on players who turn him around and run him back towards goal. He is always hard to shake but most of the guys who have done ok against him have been players who not only lead up at the ball carrier but also run back into space towards goal. Johnson runs all day and gets many of his touches facing his own goal so I would save Morris for someone else. That is of course provided Hargrave gets up.

                        The game is ours for the taking. They havent been tested yet and with Mooney out I believe we can make it extremely difficult for them to score as we did in last years final. This gives us a shot at the very least. I dont really have anything to add that hasn't already been said. We know basically what we need to do to put them under pressure its just a matter of executing it.

                        Comment

                        • Scraggers
                          Premiership Moderator
                          • Jun 2008
                          • 3565

                          #13
                          Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

                          Geelong can be beaten ... This round? Probably not !!

                          In round 21 we face them again ... again at Telstra Dome, and again on the Friday night.

                          If we get done this Friday, we need to learn from it ... put it in the memory bank ... use it towards the business end of this season, cause sure as eggs, if we make top 4 we'll be facing them again in the finals

                          Comment

                          • Mantis
                            Hall of Fame
                            • Apr 2007
                            • 15445

                            #14
                            Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

                            That was an entertaining read SS, with some insightful comments thrown in for good measure.

                            Our boys face the biggest test in football coming straight off an extremely lacklustre performance against the Dees. If we have as many bystanders this week as we did just last week we will be taken to the cleaners. Our pressure skills on a whole were woeful against Melbourne, but we weren't forced to pay. We do the same this week and we most certainly will.

                            The midfield battles shape as the key. We must at the very least find a way to break even with the powerful Geelong midfield. We must also find a way to score 15 goals, I don't know how we will, but we simply have to.

                            While a win might be out of the question I would like to be in the game for much of the night. While we are still a few key players away from being at our best there are no excuses for atleast 6 or 8 'key' players who aren't performing at the consistent levels that we expect, they simply need to show something against the leagues best to give us some hope that we will be a major player at the pointy end of the season.

                            Comment

                            • Topdog
                              Bulldog Team of the Century
                              • Jan 2007
                              • 7471

                              #15
                              Re: R9 Match Preview - Western Bulldogs v Geelong

                              I'd like to see us use Hahn in the middle to start the game with 1 instruction. Tackle everyone in sight. Along with taking a lot of risks the only way to slow Geelong down is to constently tackle them and our team seems to do that more when they see it works. Having Hahn in there will hopefully get them moving.

                              I'd also like to see Picken on Stevie J. Think he is too small to stop Ablett.

                              Comment

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