What would we get?

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  • Mofra
    Hall of Fame
    • Dec 2006
    • 14946

    What would we get?

    Yes, we're going terribly on field at the moment and already there has been talk of drafting.

    It's easy to get excited by a likely bounty of picks 5 & 6 in the draft (assuming we keep the picks and don't enter the mini-draft with GWS), so I thought I'd look at what we'd be likely to get (by comparison with picks in past years) with our picks as it stands.

    Picks: 5, 6, 27, 46, 47

    (Assuming remaining picks will be rookie upgrades)


    2005

    Pick 5 - Scott "Scont" Pendlebury
    Pick 6 - Beau Dowler
    Pick 27 - Dylan Addison
    Pick 46 - Travis Baird
    Pick 47 - Ryan Gamble

    Geez a Pendlebury would be a great outcome. Not sold on the other choices.


    2006

    Pick 5 - Travis Boak
    Pick 6 - Mitch Thorp
    Pick 27 - Brad Howard
    Pick 46 - Colin Garland
    Pick 47 - Kyle Reimers

    Like 2005, pick 5 nets a gun, 3rd rounders are pass marks


    2007

    Pick 5 - Jarrad Grant
    Pick 6 - David Myers
    Pick 27 - Andy Otten
    Pick 46 - Dennis Armfield
    Pick 47 - Toby Thoolen

    Picks 6 & 27 would be wins here, jury still out on Grant


    2008

    Pick 5 - Michael Hurley
    Pick 6 - Chris Yarren
    Pick 27 - Sam Wight
    Pick 46 - Luke Rounds
    Pick 47 - Rhys Stanley

    First year both picks 5 & 6 are guns, well done with the Saints for pick 47


    2009

    Pick 5 - Ben Cunnington
    Pick 6 - Gary Rohan
    Pick 27 - Callum Bartlett
    Pick 46 - Ben Stratton
    Pick 47 - Ryan Harwood

    Satisfied with picks 5 & 6 with this one - Rohan could be anything


    2010

    Pick 5 - Jarad Polec
    Pick 6 - Reece Conca
    Pick 27 - Kieran Harper
    Pick 46 - Daniel Farmer
    Pick 47 - Bradley Helbig

    Picks 5 & 6 look pretty safe bets. Helbig played 10 games last year, Harper on 31 games is a great outcome.


    2011

    Pick 5 - Matt Buntine
    Pick 6 - Chad Wingard
    Pick 27 - Sam Kerridge
    Pick 46 - Nicholas Joyce
    Pick 47 - Patrick Weardon


    In short, since 2008 picks 5 & 6 look set to be more than decent players (potential stars), and previously at least 1 turns out to be a gun. The later picks are a lottery so the talk of "5 picks in the top 50" is a misnomer - our later picks are likely to yield similar results, although the 2010 draft looks relatively solid all the way through.
    Western Bulldogs: 2016 Premiers
  • LostDoggy
    WOOF Member
    • Jan 2007
    • 8307

    #2
    Re: What would we get?

    Previous year's picks for the last three are an indication of nothing being guaranteed.

    To have the picks is one thing - to use them to advantage is another.

    Comment

    • Cyberdoggie
      WOOF Member
      • Jan 2007
      • 2859

      #3
      Re: What would we get?

      I guess this shows that with picks under 10 your more than likely to get a gun or very good player.

      Picks 27 and up a lot less likely.

      I guess from averages you could say we would likely get 2 good players out of 5 picks in the top 50.

      Any more than that and your ahead of the average.

      Comment

      • Eastdog
        WOOF Communtiy Organiser
        • Feb 2012
        • 18286

        #4
        Re: What would we get?

        If we're lucky in the 2nd and 3rd rounds of the draft there can be gems. Picks 5 and 6 at least one of those will be really good. It requires good recruiters who really know about the players.
        Last edited by Eastdog; 02-08-2012, 02:00 PM.
        "Footscray people are incredible people; so humble. I'm just so happy - ecstatic"

        Comment

        • The Pie Man
          Coaching Staff
          • May 2008
          • 3497

          #5
          Re: What would we get?

          Stratton at pick 46 was a result for Hawthorn
          Float Along - Fill Your Lungs

          Comment

          • Ghost Dog
            WOOF Member
            • May 2010
            • 9404

            #6
            Re: What would we get?

            Has Dylan Addison at 27 been a result for us? ^_^
            You don't develop courage by being happy in your relationships every day. You develop it by surviving difficult times and challenging adversity. ― Epicurus

            Comment

            • Eastdog
              WOOF Communtiy Organiser
              • Feb 2012
              • 18286

              #7
              Re: What would we get?

              Originally posted by Ghost Dog
              Has Dylan Addison at 27 been a result for us? ^_^
              He try's hard for us but Im not sure that he would be up there with some of the really good players picked in the lower rounds of the draft.
              Last edited by Eastdog; 02-08-2012, 05:47 PM.
              "Footscray people are incredible people; so humble. I'm just so happy - ecstatic"

              Comment

              • Eastdog
                WOOF Communtiy Organiser
                • Feb 2012
                • 18286

                #8
                Re: What would we get?

                Originally posted by The Pie Man
                Stratton at pick 46 was a result for Hawthorn
                Stratton was a very good pick for Hawthorn. James Hird was picked very low down in the draft and became a champion player.
                Last edited by Eastdog; 02-08-2012, 05:47 PM.
                "Footscray people are incredible people; so humble. I'm just so happy - ecstatic"

                Comment

                • LostDoggy
                  WOOF Member
                  • Jan 2007
                  • 8307

                  #9
                  Re: What would we get?

                  Originally posted by Eastdog
                  Stratton was a very good pick for Hawthorn. Don't James Hird was also picked very low down in the draft and became a champion player.
                  Yes, he was a late pick - not sure about the last part

                  Comment

                  • Bornadog
                    WOOF Clubhouse Leader
                    • Jan 2007
                    • 66700

                    #10
                    Re: What would we get?

                    I prefer to have picks 5 and 6 that anything above ten, so a better chance to get a decent player.
                    FFC: Established 1883

                    Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.

                    Comment

                    • DOG GOD
                      Bulldog Team of the Century
                      • Jul 2007
                      • 6544

                      #11
                      Re: What would we get?

                      Even if we had picks 1 and 2, our recruiters would probably stuff it up
                      I will never see #16 the same!!

                      Comment

                      • Cyberdoggie
                        WOOF Member
                        • Jan 2007
                        • 2859

                        #12
                        Re: What would we get?

                        Originally posted by Ghost Dog
                        Has Dylan Addison at 27 been a result for us? ^_^
                        He's more like a pick 85 than 27

                        Comment

                        • Bulldog4life
                          WOOF Member
                          • Oct 2007
                          • 9607

                          #13
                          Re: What would we get?

                          Originally posted by bornadog
                          I prefer to have picks 5 and 6 that anything above ten, so a better chance to get a decent player.
                          So do I. Isn't it lucky we haven't won more matches.

                          Comment

                          • FrediKanoute
                            Coaching Staff
                            • Aug 2007
                            • 3826

                            #14
                            Re: What would we get?

                            Originally posted by Ghost Dog
                            Has Dylan Addison at 27 been a result for us? ^_^
                            No. If we had picked him at 50+ then maybe he would be a pass, but a top-30 pick no.

                            Comment

                            • G-Mo77
                              Bulldog Team of the Century
                              • Apr 2007
                              • 9876

                              #15
                              Re: What would we get?

                              Originally posted by Ghost Dog
                              Has Dylan Addison at 27 been a result for us? ^_^
                              Wasn't he a NSW scholarship pick? Or am I thinking of someone else.

                              Comment

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