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So let’s do the math first:
After shuffling we got Picks 6, 45 & 45 last year, it looks like pick 45 this year (could be 44, let?s take 45).
3 x 45 = 1,041 Draft Points in
Pick 6 = 1,757 Draft Points in
Total in: 2,798 Draft Points in
Picks 13 & 23 out last year = 2,027 Draft Points Out
Depending on finish this year, plus an Ashcroft bid and maybe Battle compo pushing it out: (not getting ahead of ourselves)
Giving GCS (inc. 2,027 from last year):
Pick 12 = 1,268 (3,295) - deficit 497 = Pick 37
Pick 13 = 1,212 (3,239) - deficit 441 = Pick 40
Pick 14 = 1,161 (3,188) - deficit 390 = Pick 43
Pick 15 = 1,112 (3,139) - deficit 341 = Pick 46
Pick 16 = 1,067 (3,094) - deficit 296 = Pick 49
So without getting to far ahead of ourselves, a losing elim final with Ashcroft & Battle is costing us draft points about worth Pick 43. If we do better, it could be the mere points equal to a pick in the 50’s. That’s a premium of just a third rounder!
Outstanding.
The players:
Sanders (long term player)
Freijah (long term player)
Croft (1/3 of his points, hopefully long term player)
Pick 45 this year
Outstanding
The Vibe:
Say Out: 13, 15 & 23
In: 6, 45, 45 & 45
I would not trade Picks 13 & 15 for Pick 6 in a vacuum, so that is massive. That parts a clear win for us.
Then we take a down grade of 23 to 45, for two extra pick 45?s. Where the list manager used one toward Croft and the other the recruiters grabbed JF. Massive again.
Take Away:
With the Suns falling away and our late season resurgence, this trade is flipping on its head. We are nominally paying a third rounder for the rights to the players we took. A bargain. If you were offered Sanders, JF, 1/3 of Croft and Pick 45 this year for two picks in the teens and one in the 20’s you'd laugh before immediately accepting it. The better we go this season, the less we give up and the better it gets again. But right now, the list manager and recruiters must be stoked the boys are making an ok trade look like brilliance. I’ve said many a time, even a 9th place finish would have the trade at an ok level. But our on field wins look like tipping it in our favour, where it’s a win-win trade.
Who knows, it seems Smith will get us back into the first round and English will stay for ok money or we match the bid and trade him too. So we won’t be short on good picks to use this year either. And there?s clearly some cash around if we are offering Barrass $1M x 5 years.
After shuffling we got Picks 6, 45 & 45 last year, it looks like pick 45 this year (could be 44, let?s take 45).
3 x 45 = 1,041 Draft Points in
Pick 6 = 1,757 Draft Points in
Total in: 2,798 Draft Points in
Picks 13 & 23 out last year = 2,027 Draft Points Out
Depending on finish this year, plus an Ashcroft bid and maybe Battle compo pushing it out: (not getting ahead of ourselves)
Giving GCS (inc. 2,027 from last year):
Pick 12 = 1,268 (3,295) - deficit 497 = Pick 37
Pick 13 = 1,212 (3,239) - deficit 441 = Pick 40
Pick 14 = 1,161 (3,188) - deficit 390 = Pick 43
Pick 15 = 1,112 (3,139) - deficit 341 = Pick 46
Pick 16 = 1,067 (3,094) - deficit 296 = Pick 49
So without getting to far ahead of ourselves, a losing elim final with Ashcroft & Battle is costing us draft points about worth Pick 43. If we do better, it could be the mere points equal to a pick in the 50’s. That’s a premium of just a third rounder!
Outstanding.
The players:
Sanders (long term player)
Freijah (long term player)
Croft (1/3 of his points, hopefully long term player)
Pick 45 this year
Outstanding
The Vibe:
Say Out: 13, 15 & 23
In: 6, 45, 45 & 45
I would not trade Picks 13 & 15 for Pick 6 in a vacuum, so that is massive. That parts a clear win for us.
Then we take a down grade of 23 to 45, for two extra pick 45?s. Where the list manager used one toward Croft and the other the recruiters grabbed JF. Massive again.
Take Away:
With the Suns falling away and our late season resurgence, this trade is flipping on its head. We are nominally paying a third rounder for the rights to the players we took. A bargain. If you were offered Sanders, JF, 1/3 of Croft and Pick 45 this year for two picks in the teens and one in the 20’s you'd laugh before immediately accepting it. The better we go this season, the less we give up and the better it gets again. But right now, the list manager and recruiters must be stoked the boys are making an ok trade look like brilliance. I’ve said many a time, even a 9th place finish would have the trade at an ok level. But our on field wins look like tipping it in our favour, where it’s a win-win trade.
Who knows, it seems Smith will get us back into the first round and English will stay for ok money or we match the bid and trade him too. So we won’t be short on good picks to use this year either. And there?s clearly some cash around if we are offering Barrass $1M x 5 years.
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