How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

[Bulldog4life]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

I'd be more worried about Marshall or Giorgiadis having a day out. They tend to alternate between kicking 3-4 goals each.
Keath walked off so might be back for the last round before finals 2-3 weeks is a standard low grade hammy and we'd surely give him 3 in that case to avoid undue risk.

Yes that extra week would be good for him. Has suffered hammy problems in the past he was saying.

[Bulldog4life]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

Geelong have their last three games at home. How does that happen

Keeping Scott happy as they won't be getting any home games in the finals.

[bulldogtragic]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

Updated:

Dogs 1st - 60 Points

Round 21 Fri 6 Aug Bombers Marvel Stadium - 10th
Round 22 Sat 14 Aug Hawks UTAS Stadium - 17th
Round 23 Sat 21 Aug Power Marvel Stadium - 4th

Win All Three - 72 Points


Geelong 2nd - 60 Points

Round 21 GWS @ Geelong (WIN)
Round 22 St Kilda @ Geelong (WIN)
Round 23 Melbourne @ Geelong (LOSS)

Two Wins - 68 Points


Dees 3rd - 58 Points

Round 21 WCE @ WCE (LOSS)
Round 22 Adelaide @ MCG (WIN)
Round 23 Geelong @ Geelong (WIN)

Two Wins - 66 Points




1. Dogs - 72 (Outright or 68 + Percentage if Geelong win all their 3)
2. Geelong - 68
3. Melbourne - 66
4. Port Adelaide - 64


So on the above in Round 23, Dogs vs Port at Marvel. Bye. Finals Week 1, Dogs vs Port at Marvel/MCG.

Let’s hope that last minute at Geelong doesn’t hurt us, or deny us a First Minor Premiership. Three more H&A wins and it won’t.

[Bulldog Joe]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

With the position we are now, I think we must finish at least 2nd.

That occurs with 1 loss and Geelong and Melbourne also winning every game except their clash. If we drop 1 the winner of Geelong Melbourne will end up top.

[angelopetraglia]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

Basically guaranteed a top four finish finish now and odds on that it will be a Victorian home final too.

[jazzadogs]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

I've just got my fingers crossed that port hold on to fourth. I'd much prefer to face them or Melbourne, than Sydney or Geelong.

[comrade]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

I've just got my fingers crossed that port hold on to fourth. I'd much prefer to face them or Melbourne, than Sydney or Geelong.

The fixture makes it hard.

For Port to finish top 4, they're most likely going to need to win all 3 as Sydney are going to be warm favourites in each remaining game and are only a few % behind. But if Port win all 3, it means we lose one leading to a likely 2nd finish at best. This means we will probably face Melbourne week 1 which I don't mind actually.

[azabob]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

I've just got my fingers crossed that port hold on to fourth. I'd much prefer to face them or Melbourne, than Sydney or Geelong.

Strangely enough I'd prefer to play Sydney and Cats at the MCG and not docklands.

[comrade]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

Strangely enough I'd prefer to play Sydney and Cats at the MCG and not docklands.

I like our chances at the MCG, feels like more open space actually suits us more.

[1eyedog]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

The fixture makes it hard.

For Port to finish top 4, they're most likely going to need to win all 3 as Sydney are going to be warm favourites in each remaining game and are only a few % behind. But if Port win all 3, it means we lose one leading to a likely 2nd finish at best. This means we will probably face Melbourne week 1 which I don't mind actually.

Port can drop us by a little bit and still finish 4 even if Sydney win their remaining games. Port have a 33 point buffer over them at the moment. Percentage obviously critical for the final standings.

[bulldogtragic]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

Updated:

Dogs 1st - 60 Points

Round 21 Fri 6 Aug Bombers Marvel Stadium - 10th
Round 22 Sat 14 Aug Hawks UTAS Stadium - 17th
Round 23 Sat 21 Aug Power Marvel Stadium - 4th

Win Two or Three - 68-72 Points


Geelong 2nd - 60 Points

Round 22 St Kilda @ Geelong (WIN)
Round 23 Melbourne @ Geelong (LOSS)

One Wins - 64 Points


Dees 3rd - 58 Points

Round 21 WCE @ WCE (LOSS)
Round 22 Adelaide @ MCG (WIN)
Round 23 Geelong @ Geelong (WIN)

Two Wins - 66 Points




1. Dogs - 68-72
2. Melbourne - 66
3. Geelong - 64 (%)
4. Port Adelaide - 64 (%)
5. Sydney - 64

If Geelong beat Melbourne, they swap 2 & Port into 3 & Dees 4. For us, then 2 wins and % secures top spot.

So on the above in Round 23, Dogs vs Port at Marvel. Bye. Finals Week 1, Dogs vs Port at Marvel.

[Bornadog]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

Updated:

Dogs 1st - 60 Points

Round 21 Fri 6 Aug Bombers Marvel Stadium - 10th
Round 22 Sat 14 Aug Hawks UTAS Stadium - 17th
Round 23 Sat 21 Aug Power Marvel Stadium - 4th

Win Two or Three - 68-72 Points


Geelong 2nd - 60 Points

Round 22 St Kilda @ Geelong (WIN)
Round 23 Melbourne @ Geelong (LOSS)

One Wins - 64 Points


Dees 3rd - 58 Points

Round 21 WCE @ WCE (LOSS)
Round 22 Adelaide @ MCG (WIN)
Round 23 Geelong @ Geelong (WIN)

Two Wins - 66 Points




1. Dogs - 68-72
2. Melbourne - 66
3. Geelong - 64 (%)
4. Port Adelaide - 64

If Geelong beat Melbourne, they swap 2 & Port into 3. For us, then 2 wins and % secures top spot.

So on the above in Round 23, Dogs vs Port at Marvel. Bye. Finals Week 1, Dogs vs Port at Marvel/MCG.

Need to show Port and Swans as well. They will fight out 4th and we potentially play one of them

[bulldogtragic]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

Need to show Port and Swans as well. They will fight out 4th and we potentially play one of them

Port in on %.

Much rather them than Sydney.

[bulldogtragic]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

In a nutshell.

If dees win their 3, we need to win all 3 to finish on top.

If dees win only 2 (loss to WCE away or Cats away) we can afford to drop 1 of our 3 and still finish top.

[westdog54]

Re: How Many More Wins Left In The H&A?

In a nutshell.

If dees win their 3, we need to win all 3 to finish on top.

If dees win only 2 (loss to WCE away or Cats away) we can afford to drop 1 of our 3 and still finish top.

WC have been putrid the last few weeks. Melbourne will get them next week.

As for Geelong/Melbourne in round 23, I just don't know anymore.

It's going to have an EPL 'Final day' feel. Could be at least 5 matches having an impact on the final 8 makeup.