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Please work with the assumptions, they're not mine, but I'll provide the sources. I will use picks not factoring in FA compo moving things negatively.
Liveladders have us finishing at 14th with pick 5, (23 to Carlton from last year), 41, 59 & 61 (Freo deal with Crozier)
The noise around Rhylee West is getting louder. ESPN today put him on power rankings (phantom draft esq) as pick 18. The first time Knightmare has put him into the top 18. Buku Khamis might be later around say 40. We've two other boys, but I will leave them out. So for argument sake, let's say we need picks 18 & 40 in draft points.
So, we draft pick 5 in a super draft! - Elite kicking skills. If an irresponsible deal came in on Dahl that gets us pick 6, would we stock up on the future??
But we draft out to pick 18. The premier nominates West. We match it. On last year's Draft Value Index (DVI) that needs us to deliver 985 points to the AFEL. Buku at pick 40 needs 429 points.
So we would need to hand over 1,414 draft points to get both 'on the cheap'. With me?
However, picks 41, 59 & 61 is only 705 draft points. Leaving us 709 draft points short (equivalent to pick 27).
So, if the trade and draft was today, we need to trade. I can't see any club doing a draft points trade on our pick 41, and we'd be insane to trade down in a super draft, pick 5. So that means we might very well need to trade a player to generate the points (or if Dahl left as a free agent and the compo was lower at our second pick, that would cover the points), or perhaps looking at moving a few on to get two picks around 40 (picks 44 & 45 combined are worth 709 points). Campbell & Honey couldn't go for a peanut last year, so something of value might have to go, not guys like this (So maybe Roughy, Webb, Jong, Biggs, Roberts types etc). We could future trade, but with Olly Liberatore & Josh Kellett possible father sons, we aren't fixing the problem.
In short, there's a lot to like about in pick 5, West & Khamis - namely/probably three athletic good ball users. But we are a long way off making it a reality. Now yes, it could be higher or lower than 709 points this thread points to, but how do we intend to come up with 709 points?
Liveladders have us finishing at 14th with pick 5, (23 to Carlton from last year), 41, 59 & 61 (Freo deal with Crozier)
The noise around Rhylee West is getting louder. ESPN today put him on power rankings (phantom draft esq) as pick 18. The first time Knightmare has put him into the top 18. Buku Khamis might be later around say 40. We've two other boys, but I will leave them out. So for argument sake, let's say we need picks 18 & 40 in draft points.
So, we draft pick 5 in a super draft! - Elite kicking skills. If an irresponsible deal came in on Dahl that gets us pick 6, would we stock up on the future??
But we draft out to pick 18. The premier nominates West. We match it. On last year's Draft Value Index (DVI) that needs us to deliver 985 points to the AFEL. Buku at pick 40 needs 429 points.
So we would need to hand over 1,414 draft points to get both 'on the cheap'. With me?
However, picks 41, 59 & 61 is only 705 draft points. Leaving us 709 draft points short (equivalent to pick 27).
So, if the trade and draft was today, we need to trade. I can't see any club doing a draft points trade on our pick 41, and we'd be insane to trade down in a super draft, pick 5. So that means we might very well need to trade a player to generate the points (or if Dahl left as a free agent and the compo was lower at our second pick, that would cover the points), or perhaps looking at moving a few on to get two picks around 40 (picks 44 & 45 combined are worth 709 points). Campbell & Honey couldn't go for a peanut last year, so something of value might have to go, not guys like this (So maybe Roughy, Webb, Jong, Biggs, Roberts types etc). We could future trade, but with Olly Liberatore & Josh Kellett possible father sons, we aren't fixing the problem.
In short, there's a lot to like about in pick 5, West & Khamis - namely/probably three athletic good ball users. But we are a long way off making it a reality. Now yes, it could be higher or lower than 709 points this thread points to, but how do we intend to come up with 709 points?
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