Early Trade Rumours 2023

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  • jeemak
    Bulldog Legend
    • Oct 2010
    • 21416

    Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

    Originally posted by hujsh
    I don't think anyone is saying a great ruck can't contribute to team success but aside from Melbourne most premiership teams seem to get by fine without one including the team Grundy left.

    For me the question isn't even if English is any good. It's is he so good that we should commit more than a 1 millions dollars a season to his contract and how has that turned out for other clubs making similar commitments to ruckmen? TBH I'm not sure anyone aside from Gawn and Grundy has been good enough to command such a deal and when I look at them at their best and compare them to English I'm worried he's a bit of a white elephant.
    I think with the new regulations he's worth $1M and I think he's genuinely still improving his game. Nothing of his trajectory to date says' to me he's about to stop improving, and while that's not to say he won't get challenged at times I think he ads more via his positive attributes that can be measured versus the intangibles that can't. Though me saying that is comparing intangibles versus tangibles and that'd be hypocritical so I'll leave that there.

    Where does he improve? Obviously his strength in the contest and his craft, however, I also think he has another gear to go up as he continues to get stronger that will see him less fatigued and less prone to dropping out of games. It's not a binary thing, increased strength to compete in the grind gives us more chances at the coal face, but it also equals less fatigue and higher capacity to keep going around the ground. I'm not putting a ceiling on what he can do across his whole game.

    Leaving Jordon Sweet out of the equation for the moment, who is on the market that could do as good a job as Darcy Cameron who's probably going to be on $800K - a year after Tim hits $1M at the end of next year - if he keeps playing the way that he is or earlier if he extends? It's great to say we could save $4.5K per listed player if we just moved on Tim and found a Darcy Cameron to play his role instead, but that's much easier said than done. If we want to find someone as good as Darcy Cameron we're probably paying $800K to $900K unless we gamble on a lesser player to step up.

    And the latter part is really the crux of it. We all snigger at players reportedly moving on for as little as $40K per year, but if we pay Naughton and English $200K per year more than we might like what's the actual impact spread across the playing group (maybe $10K a player)? Does it really smash affordability as much as we think it does or are there ways around it through smart management and well, actually being a good place to work?
    TF is this?.........Obviously you're not a golfer.

    Comment

    • G-Mo77
      Bulldog Team of the Century
      • Apr 2007
      • 9873

      Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

      Originally posted by kruder
      Would you take him for a 3rd/4th rounder? In regards to draft capital we will be spending up a lot on pick 4 and Croft in theory hence I have to keep reminding myself that we won't have a hell of a lot left to play with.
      No, I wouldn't even do that if it were me. We'll likely throw down as much as we possibly can though in desperation.

      I'd rather he stay at the Saints. I'm not sure why we need him, we may as well keep Crozier who'll play the same role and won't cost us anything.

      Comment

      • kruder
        Coaching Staff
        • May 2011
        • 3722

        Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

        Originally posted by G-Mo77
        No, I wouldn't even do that if it were me. We'll likely throw down as much as we possibly can though in desperation.

        I'd rather he stay at the Saints. I'm not sure why we need him, we may as well keep Crozier who'll play the same role and won't cost us anything.
        I love Croz been a good addition but he is cooked. Coffield has more talent than many players on our list make no mistake I would take the risk.

        Comment

        • bulldogtragic
          The List Manager
          • Jan 2007
          • 34316

          Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

          I wonder if they would be interested in a DP trade with Coffield, if we must get him. If they can get say Pick 50 for Billings.

          (After possible FA compo) Pick 50, 55 & Coffield - for - Pick 40 & 75

          Dogs: Coffield & 61 extra draft points
          Saints: Turn two late thirds into a late second and lose a guy who hasn’t played god two years
          Rocket Science: the epitaph for the Beveridge era - whenever it ends - reading 'Here lies a team that could beat anyone on its day, but seldom did when it mattered most'. 15/7/2023

          Comment

          • hujsh
            Hall of Fame
            • Nov 2007
            • 11732

            Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

            Originally posted by jeemak
            I think with the new regulations he's worth $1M and I think he's genuinely still improving his game. Nothing of his trajectory to date says' to me he's about to stop improving, and while that's not to say he won't get challenged at times I think he ads more via his positive attributes that can be measured versus the intangibles that can't. Though me saying that is comparing intangibles versus tangibles and that'd be hypocritical so I'll leave that there.

            Where does he improve? Obviously his strength in the contest and his craft, however, I also think he has another gear to go up as he continues to get stronger that will see him less fatigued and less prone to dropping out of games. It's not a binary thing, increased strength to compete in the grind gives us more chances at the coal face, but it also equals less fatigue and higher capacity to keep going around the ground. I'm not putting a ceiling on what he can do across his whole game.

            Leaving Jordon Sweet out of the equation for the moment, who is on the market that could do as good a job as Darcy Cameron who's probably going to be on $800K - a year after Tim hits $1M at the end of next year - if he keeps playing the way that he is or earlier if he extends? It's great to say we could save $4.5K per listed player if we just moved on Tim and found a Darcy Cameron to play his role instead, but that's much easier said than done. If we want to find someone as good as Darcy Cameron we're probably paying $800K to $900K unless we gamble on a lesser player to step up.

            And the latter part is really the crux of it. We all snigger at players reportedly moving on for as little as $40K per year, but if we pay Naughton and English $200K per year more than we might like what's the actual impact spread across the playing group (maybe $10K a player)? Does it really smash affordability as much as we think it does or are there ways around it through smart management and well, actually being a good place to work?
            Appreciate the thought out response. If I have an issue with any part above it's the idea that English still has improvement in him. Guy is 26 and feels like he's been 'developing' for an eternity. At the end of this next contract he'll be a veteran. At what point do we just have to accept he is the player he is? Maybe that player is worth a million a year post pay rise but I also hope he's not after significantly more than that because unlike Bont, Naughton and even Smith/JUH I'm not sure I've seen him show the match wining ability of the other players in that pay bracket.

            If something has to give, I'd rather give him or Smith, that's my personal conclusion
            [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]

            Comment

            • Bulldog Joe
              Premiership Moderator
              • Jul 2009
              • 5435

              Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

              Originally posted by bornadog
              No he wasn't. Tim's numbers stack up to Grundy at the same age, if not better.

              Player Statistics Comparison
              Brodie Grundy Name Timothy English
              Melbourne Demons Team Western Bulldogs
              Ruck Position Ruck
              194 Career Games 108
              Sturt Origin South Fremantle
              April 15, 1994 Date of Birth August 10, 1997
              Turned 26 in 2020 Age 26yr 1mth
              203cm Height 207cm
              104kg Weight 103kg
              2012 National Draft Last Drafted In 2016 National Draft
              Round 1, Pick #18 Last Draft Position Round 1, Pick #19
              Collingwood Magpies Last Drafted By Western Bulldogs
              2020 Stats for Season 2023
              19 Games 23
              5.5 Kicks 11.2
              8.8 Handballs 7.9
              14.4 Disposals 19.1
              3.0 Marks 6.3
              0.2 Goals 0.7
              0.2 Behinds 0.2
              3.6 Tackles 4.3
              31.4 Hitouts 31.2
              1.9 Inside 50s 3.2
              0.3 Goal Assists 0.3
              2.3 Frees For 1.8
              1.5 Frees Against 1.5
              8.9 Contested Possessions 9.2
              5.8 Uncontested Possessions 11.0
              10.6 Effective Disposals 13.9
              73.6% Disposal Efficiency % 72.8%
              2.5 Clangers 3.6
              1.1 Contested Marks 1.3
              0.3 Marks Inside 50 0.6
              3.2 Clearances 3.3
              0.7 Rebound 50s 1.9
              2.2 One Percenters 4.3
              0.1 Bounces 0.3
              84.5 Time On Ground % 85.9
              0.8 Centre Clearances 1.2
              2.4 Stoppage Clearances 2.1
              3.3 Score Involvements 5.3
              99.8 Metres Gained 255.0
              1.8 Turnovers 3.3
              1.9 Intercepts 4.3
              0.5 Tackles Inside 50 0.4
              87.9 AFL Fantasy Score 118.7
              118.4 Supercoach Score 128.0
              When your argument relies on statistics you have lost the debate.
              Life is to be Enjoyed not Endured

              Comment

              • jeemak
                Bulldog Legend
                • Oct 2010
                • 21416

                Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                Originally posted by hujsh
                Appreciate the thought out response. If I have an issue with any part above it's the idea that English still has improvement in him. Guy is 26 and feels like he's been 'developing' for an eternity. At the end of this next contract he'll be a veteran. At what point do we just have to accept he is the player he is? Maybe that player is worth a million a year post pay rise but I also hope he's not after significantly more than that because unlike Bont, Naughton and even Smith/JUH I'm not sure I've seen him show the match wining ability of the other players in that pay bracket.

                If something has to give, I'd rather give him or Smith, that's my personal conclusion
                Is a big guy really a veteran at 26-27 years of age?

                If he'd have levelled out this year versus the last year or so then I'd agree with you but he hasn't. Darcy Cameron is still improving and becoming more reliable and he's got two years on Tim.

                Bont's older than Tim and possibly had his most consistent and productive season give or take, and I do think even he can go up a level if he stays injury free and kicks at goal more accurately.

                Players shouldn't be tapering off in their development at any time in their careers, until their physical limits have peaked. Tim's a few years away from that.
                TF is this?.........Obviously you're not a golfer.

                Comment

                • GVGjr
                  Moderator
                  • Nov 2006
                  • 43898

                  Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                  Originally posted by jeemak
                  Is a big guy really a veteran at 26-27 years of age?

                  If he'd have levelled out this year versus the last year or so then I'd agree with you but he hasn't. Darcy Cameron is still improving and becoming more reliable and he's got two years on Tim.

                  Bont's older than Tim and possibly had his most consistent and productive season give or take, and I do think even he can go up a level if he stays injury free and kicks at goal more accurately.

                  Players shouldn't be tapering off in their development at any time in their careers, until their physical limits have peaked. Tim's a few years away from that.
                  We've waited patiently for Tim to emerge and he really had a good season this year. He still has improvement in him and with his size and mobility I'd be in no hurry to see him go.
                  Western Bulldogs Football Club "Where it's cool to drool"

                  Comment

                  • meenies
                    Rookie List
                    • May 2014
                    • 207

                    Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                    Didn?t add kick outs to the English Grundy stats

                    Comment

                    • jeemak
                      Bulldog Legend
                      • Oct 2010
                      • 21416

                      Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                      Originally posted by meenies
                      Didn?t add kick outs to the English Grundy stats
                      People don't give him enough credit.
                      TF is this?.........Obviously you're not a golfer.

                      Comment

                      • hujsh
                        Hall of Fame
                        • Nov 2007
                        • 11732

                        Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                        Originally posted by jeemak
                        Is a big guy really a veteran at 26-27 years of age?

                        If he'd have levelled out this year versus the last year or so then I'd agree with you but he hasn't. Darcy Cameron is still improving and becoming more reliable and he's got two years on Tim.

                        Bont's older than Tim and possibly had his most consistent and productive season give or take, and I do think even he can go up a level if he stays injury free and kicks at goal more accurately.

                        Players shouldn't be tapering off in their development at any time in their careers, until their physical limits have peaked. Tim's a few years away from that.
                        No, at the end of his NEXT contract though which you'd imagine would be 3-4 years minimum at which point he's 30+, which is what I meant/was trying to say.
                        [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]

                        Comment

                        • jeemak
                          Bulldog Legend
                          • Oct 2010
                          • 21416

                          Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                          Originally posted by hujsh
                          No, at the end of his NEXT contract though which you'd imagine would be 3-4 years minimum at which point he's 30+, which is what I meant/was trying to say.
                          And by that time I expect he'll have peaked and will be winding down a bit most likely - after hopefully eclipsing the annual value of his contract whilst he was at his peak - offsetting the disparity in value on his way up.

                          Inury free I reckon we'll see the best of Tim at ages 30-32.
                          TF is this?.........Obviously you're not a golfer.

                          Comment

                          • bulldogsthru&thru
                            Bulldog Team of the Century
                            • May 2011
                            • 7637

                            Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                            Entitled prick T Morris (aka Tom M) reporting that Melbourne are open to trading Oliver for the right price.....

                            Comment

                            • Grantysghost
                              Bouncing Strong
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 18731

                              Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                              Originally posted by bulldogsthru&thru
                              Entitled prick T Morris (aka Tom M) reporting that Melbourne are open to trading Oliver for the right price.....
                              Something weird here.

                              I don't know but absolutely believe it's Steven May
                              BT COME BACK!​

                              Comment

                              • angelopetraglia
                                Bulldog Team of the Century
                                • Nov 2008
                                • 6683

                                Re: Early Trade Rumours 2023

                                Tom Morris

                                Melbourne is open to trading star midfielder Clayton Oliver, with rival clubs already enquiring about his availability.

                                The response these clubs received has left the door ajar for the four-time best and fairest to depart Melbourne in the trade period, according to two sources with direct knowledge of discussions

                                Comment

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